Analytics
kman86 is down $2.14K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 198.93 | $0.140 | $10.94 | -$16.91 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 05:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 05:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 05:25 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 05:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $183.64 and losing ones cost $1.02K across the latest 50 settled positions. 14% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $55.17 on “Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?” (No); the largest loss, $140.05 on “Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?” (No).
It has traded 499 markets. Its open positions are worth $122.72 across 62 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 138.15 |
| $0.168 |
| $9.95 |
| -$13.26 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 208.33 | $0.120 | $8.02 | -$16.98 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 276.76 | $0.170 | $6.78 | -$40.27 |
 Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 164.06 | $0.160 | $4.92 | -$21.33 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | No | 4.38 | $0.810 | $4.38 | +$0.83 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 4.99 | $0.750 | $4.34 | +$0.6 |
 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? | Yes | 122.72 | $0.114 | $4.17 | -$9.82 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 4.16 | $0.860 | $4.05 | +$0.47 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 4.18 | $0.666 | $3.74 | +$0.96 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.42 | $0.680 | $3.69 | +$0.69 |
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | No | 3.67 | $0.860 | $3.38 | +$0.22 |
 Will Trump deport 300-400k people? | No | 3.35 | $0.620 | $3.03 | +$0.95 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.94 | $0.660 | $2.87 | +$0.93 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 23.35 | $0.180 | $2.81 | -$1.39 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.490 | $2.68 | -$21.83 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027? | Yes | 59.84 | $0.180 | $2.6 | -$8.17 |
 Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.160 | $2.48 | -$11.93 |
 Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 123.14 | $0.114 | $2.46 | -$11.62 |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | No | 2.9 | $0.760 | $2.35 | +$0.14 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 2.68 | $0.590 | $2.33 | +$0.75 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.15 | $0.720 | $1.97 | +$0.42 |
 Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.770 | $1.89 | +$0.35 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | Yes | 32.76 | $0.093 | $1.85 | -$1.2 |
 Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.04 | $0.226 | $1.76 | -$3.21 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
