Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 198.93 | $0.140 | $20.89 | -$6.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.083 | $4.13 | 28d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 208.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $10.31 |
| -$14.69 |
 Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 164.06 | $0.160 | $7.05 | -$19.2 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 276.76 | $0.170 | $6.64 | -$40.41 |
 Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 138.15 | $0.168 | $5.87 | -$17.34 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 388 | $0.029 | $5.63 | -$5.63 |
 Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 123.14 | $0.114 | $5.54 | -$8.54 |
 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? | Yes | 122.72 | $0.114 | $5.15 | -$8.84 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 4.99 | $0.750 | $4.47 | +$0.72 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | No | 4.38 | $0.810 | $4.35 | +$0.8 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.490 | $4.25 | -$20.25 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027? | Yes | 59.84 | $0.180 | $4.19 | -$6.58 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 4.16 | $0.860 | $4.12 | +$0.54 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 4.18 | $0.666 | $3.85 | +$1.06 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.42 | $0.680 | $3.73 | +$0.73 |
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | No | 3.67 | $0.860 | $3.4 | +$0.25 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 69 | $0.130 | $3.28 | -$5.69 |
 Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.04 | $0.226 | $2.94 | -$2.03 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.94 | $0.660 | $2.83 | +$0.89 |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | No | 2.9 | $0.760 | $2.79 | +$0.59 |
 Will Trump deport 300-400k people? | No | 3.35 | $0.620 | $2.76 | +$0.69 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 23.35 | $0.180 | $2.63 | -$1.58 |
 Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.160 | $2.61 | -$11.79 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 2.68 | $0.590 | $2.13 | +$0.55 |
 Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.100 | $1.95 | -$1.05 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.210 |
| $4.2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | sell | 24.54 | $0.065 | $1.6 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 127.7 | $0.120 | $15.32 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 795.64 | $0.120 | $95.48 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 131.41 | $0.150 | $19.71 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 69.99 | $0.180 | $12.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.42 | $0.480 | $13.64 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.248 | $3.09 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.250 | $13.25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Yes | sell | 22.85 | $0.080 | $1.83 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.280 | $1.75 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.300 | $1.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.680 | $8.87 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No | sell | 24 | $0.784 | $18.82 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 34.34 | $0.530 | $18.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 7.66 | $0.590 | $4.52 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.47 | $0.690 | $7.22 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.87 | $0.821 | $31.09 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 173.33 | $0.140 | $24.27 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | sell | 29.99 | $0.150 | $4.5 | May 8, 2026 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | sell | 59.79 | $0.160 | $9.57 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 148.11 | $0.170 | $25.18 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Yes | sell | 68.5 | $0.033 | $2.25 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Yes | sell | 127.74 | $0.100 | $12.77 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.39 | $0.075 | $0.93 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | May 3, 2026 |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.63 | $0.080 | $1.01 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 148.11 | $0.180 | $26.66 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 138.15 | $0.168 | $23.21 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.149 | $8.94 | May 3, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.26 | $0.060 | $0.68 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Pump.fun reach $0.0054 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.110 | $0.72 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.39 | $0.249 | $19.27 | May 2, 2026 |
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 198.93 | $0.140 | $27.85 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.74 | $0.200 | $1.75 | May 2, 2026 |
 Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.092 | $2.75 | May 2, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 173.33 | $0.150 | $26 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No | sell | 17 | $0.920 | $15.64 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 89.98 | $0.170 | $15.3 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Yes | sell | 43.2 | $0.040 | $1.73 | May 1, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 145.5 | $0.130 | $18.92 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | May 1, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes | sell | 56.08 | $0.180 | $10.09 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes | sell | 161.32 | $0.163 | $26.3 | May 1, 2026 |