Analytics
Yes is at 8%, down 32 points from 40% when the market opened on 13 Dec 2025.
Across the 294 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 44.5% on 6 Mar 2026.
$22.57K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.24K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 466 trades, $1.29K bought Yes and $2.75K bought No; the largest was a $1.05K buy of No at 88.0¢.
The largest Yes position is 2B9S with 563 shares; the largest No position is User14657 with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 72.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 294 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 40.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| User14657 | No | 1.23K |
| 2B9S | Yes | 563 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 436.52 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nguesso-out-as-president-of-the-republic-of-the-congo-by-end-of-2026
| cowcat |
| No |
| 392 |
| rocky42025 | Yes | 283.13 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 268.95 |
| Threadbare-Signal | Yes | 248.23 |
| 5atka | Yes | 222 |
| Bright Vector 2089 | Yes | 198.93 |
| archaic | No | 185.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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