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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 583.33K | $0.078 | $23.04K | -$22.4K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.71K | $0.001 | $8.71 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 122.51K |
| $0.224 |
| $17.76K |
| -$9.64K |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 73.69K | $0.334 | $9.95K | -$14.67K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.51K | $0.402 | $6.94K | -$4.93K |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 39.64K | $0.323 | $6.54K | -$6.27K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 54.28K | $0.173 | $5.7K | -$3.67K |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 57.75K | $0.175 | $3.75K | -$6.38K |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 44.4K | $0.123 | $3.15K | -$2.29K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 46.95K | $0.115 | $2.82K | -$2.57K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 38.89K | $0.070 | $2.53K | -$195.16 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 12.64K | $0.216 | $1.33K | -$1.41K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 19.98K | $0.124 | $1.3K | -$1.18K |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 8.51K | $0.185 | $1.06K | -$514.63 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 212.74K | $0.005 | $957.34 | -$221.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 9.61K | $0.225 | $817.01 | -$1.35K |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.74K | $0.137 | $763.2 | -$847.84 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 213.06K | $0.005 | $532.65 | -$597.91 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 90.7K | $0.044 | $498.87 | -$3.51K |
 Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 895.44K | $0.001 | $447.72 | -$439.65 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 4.7K | $0.130 | $422.55 | -$190.13 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 15.47K | $0.133 | $394.38 | -$1.66K |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 53.43K | $0.008 | $320.56 | -$104.02 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.37K | $0.009 | $317.68 | -$10.2 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 4.68K | $0.174 | $304.48 | -$511.27 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 4.68K | $0.117 | $304.03 | -$241.81 |
| buy |
| 555 |
| $0.012 |
| $6.66 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 444 | $0.012 | $5.33 | 3d ago |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.8K | $0.001 | $14.8 | 5d ago |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 81.95K | $0.002 | $163.9 | 6d ago |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 29.04K | $0.001 | $29.04 | 6d ago |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.99K | $0.001 | $15.99 | 6d ago |
 Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 241.38 | $0.002 | $0.48 | 7d ago |
 Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.002 | $5.34 | 7d ago |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.001 | $1.99 | 12d ago |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 27.07K | $0.001 | $27.07 | 12d ago |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.011 | $0.53 | 12d ago |
 Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.09K | $0.011 | $45 | 12d ago |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.73K | $0.012 | $104.75 | 20d ago |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 30.41K | $0.001 | $30.41 | 22d ago |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.09K | $0.001 | $14.09 | 22d ago |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.84K | $0.001 | $10.84 | 22d ago |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 44.68K | $0.001 | $44.68 | 22d ago |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 53.12K | $0.001 | $53.12 | 22d ago |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.4K | $0.001 | $13.4 | 27d ago |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.47K | $0.001 | $22.47 | 27d ago |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 116.5K | $0.001 | $116.5 | 29d ago |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 102.87K | $0.001 | $102.87 | 29d ago |
 Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.29K | $0.009 | $56.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.43K | $0.016 | $86.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 26.19K | $0.002 | $52.37 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 243.69 | $0.040 | $9.75 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 18.9K | $0.079 | $1.5K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 232 | $0.069 | $16.01 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 33.83 | $0.160 | $5.41 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.050 | $0.55 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.240 | $411.31 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.45K | $0.002 | $2.91 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.287 | $719.42 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 121 | $0.322 | $38.96 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.19K | $0.004 | $17.41 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.3K | $0.009 | $47.73 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 335.23 | $0.051 | $17.1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.64K | $0.060 | $98.1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.092 | $155.27 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.178 | $211.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.4K | $0.001 | $30.4 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 56.37K | $0.001 | $56.37 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60.12 | $0.090 | $5.41 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.44K | $0.001 | $4.44 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 40.96 | $0.210 | $8.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.2K | $0.007 | $186.81 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.11K | $0.003 | $9.33 | Jul 15, 2026 |