Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
Threadbare-Signal has made $34.73K on Polymarket.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
No chart history is available for this wallet yet.
The Sources tab shows which records are available.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 120.29K | $0.224 | $24.66K | -$2.25K |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | +$213.06 | $213.06 | 13 | 4 | 25.0% | $5.71K |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-07 08:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 18:29 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 18:29 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 1,540 markets. Most of the volume is in politics ($213.06). Its open positions are worth $82.91K across 126 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 583.37K |
| $0.078 |
| $13.13K |
| -$32.32K |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 39.76K | $0.323 | $7.75K | -$5.08K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30.07K | $0.398 | $6.47K | -$5.5K |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 73.69K | $0.334 | $6.26K | -$18.35K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 54.28K | $0.173 | $5.16K | -$4.21K |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 57.75K | $0.175 | $3.18K | -$6.96K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 99.39K | $0.053 | $2.24K | -$3.06K |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 44.4K | $0.123 | $1.62K | -$3.83K |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 12.64K | $0.216 | $1.33K | -$1.41K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.36K | $0.468 | $1.22K | +$111.82 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 19.98K | $0.124 | $1.1K | -$1.38K |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 8.51K | $0.185 | $1.06K | -$514.27 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 9.61K | $0.225 | $576.72 | -$1.59K |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.74K | $0.137 | $528.37 | -$1.08K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 927.28 | $0.492 | $510.01 | +$53.41 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 63.79K | $0.005 | $382.74 | +$29.34 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 213.06K | $0.005 | $319.59 | -$810.97 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 189.41K | $0.009 | $284.12 | -$1.37K |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.319 | $277.63 | -$313.13 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 4.7K | $0.130 | $258.23 | -$354.46 |
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 12.5K | $0.006 | $243.7 | +$163.47 |
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 115.99K | $0.006 | $231.99 | -$429.29 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 6.67K | $0.087 | $229.98 | -$347.72 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.9K | $0.102 | $224.38 | -$481 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 1 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
