Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 2.7 points from 3.3% when the market opened on 14 Oct 2025.
Across the 376 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.3% on 14 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 22 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.6%; a month before, 0.5%.
Ivanka Trump ranks 22nd of the 55 outcomes in “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. JD Vance leads at 19.4%; Gavin Newsom is at 12.7%.
$4.9K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.64M since listing. The order book holds $297.48K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $126.97 bought Yes and $4.27K bought No; the largest was a $1.19K buy of No at 99.5¢.
The largest Yes position is Predictor48 with 432.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.77M. Ten wallets hold 81.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 376 points, 14 Oct 2025 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 3.3% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.77M |
| Predictor48 | Yes | 432.36K |
| MoriSan | Yes | 395.16K |
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028
42 more outcomes, none above 1.3%.
| Rapid Atlas 1600 |
| Yes |
| 231.94K |
| TruthIsF1776 | Yes | 153.98K |
| tsihkodiives | Yes | 127.48K |
| Boris09 | Yes | 125K |
| Andonoski | Yes | 120.96K |
| Ivan019 | Yes | 103.48K |
| Probinan0 | Yes | 101.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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