Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.24K | $0.923 | $2.11K | +$48.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.950 | $997.5 | 3d ago |
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| No |
| 750 |
| $0.875 |
| $668.25 |
| +$11.85 |
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.496 | $199.9 | +$100.64 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.811 | $198.9 | +$36.59 |
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 200 | $0.730 | $195.2 | +$49.2 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.865 | $193.7 | +$20.74 |
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 200 | $0.644 | $189.3 | +$60.51 |
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.515 | $189 | +$86 |
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | No | 200 | $0.880 | $183.4 | +$7.4 |
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | No | 191.37 | $0.818 | $182.09 | +$25.57 |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.746 | $181 | +$31.74 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 200 | $0.877 | $177 | +$1.67 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 179.24 | $0.627 | $175.47 | +$63.09 |
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 170 | $0.878 | $168.3 | +$19.06 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 198.34 | $0.449 | $167.6 | +$78.47 |
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.301 | $165 | +$104.8 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | Yes | 167.4 | $0.651 | $156.52 | +$47.51 |
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 200 | $0.677 | $151 | +$15.62 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 156 | $0.740 | $144.37 | +$28.96 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 153.74 | $0.380 | $138.75 | +$80.33 |
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 164.07 | $0.828 | $133.72 | -$2.18 |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 199.83 | $0.603 | $127.89 | +$7.44 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 205.5 | $0.221 | $126.38 | +$80.91 |
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? | No | 136.04 | $0.600 | $119.72 | +$38.09 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 154.22 | $0.791 | $119.52 | -$2.5 |
| buy |
| 750 |
| $0.875 |
| $656.4 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.900 | $1.07K | Jul 16, 2026 |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalTeam Spirit | buy | 1K | $0.700 | $700 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.1 | $0.140 | $4.07 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 9.27 | $0.470 | $4.36 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.12 | $0.650 | $3.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?No | buy | 60.1 | $0.110 | $6.61 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.790 | $7.81 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 45.14 | $0.390 | $17.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.45 | $0.120 | $2.33 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 51.86 | $0.360 | $18.67 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.44 | $0.130 | $2.53 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No | sell | 10.35 | $0.610 | $6.31 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.270 | $1.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?No | buy | 17.52 | $0.890 | $15.59 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 28.18 | $0.890 | $25.08 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.88 | $0.390 | $1.12 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 1?No | sell | 3 | $0.780 | $2.34 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 1?No | buy | 20.63 | $0.730 | $15.06 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.160 | $0.96 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.400 | $14 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.63 | $0.060 | $0.64 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by April 30?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.250 | $3.97 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.61 | $0.370 | $8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.450 | $0.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 1?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.530 | $2.58 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.820 | $4.94 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.110 | $0.27 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?No | buy | 24.4 | $0.110 | $2.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.59 | $0.650 | $14.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.880 | $8.18 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?No | buy | 20.7 | $0.880 | $18.22 | Mar 30, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | buy | 17.07 | $0.520 | $8.88 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.910 | $2.87 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.14 | $0.650 | $10.49 | Mar 30, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.880 | $5.93 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.62 | $0.360 | $7.78 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.2 | $0.350 | $2.17 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?No | buy | 12.43 | $0.210 | $2.61 | Mar 30, 2026 |
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.610 | $9.15 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.86 | $0.410 | $6.09 | Mar 30, 2026 |
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 26.41 | $0.610 | $16.11 | Mar 30, 2026 |