Latest trade
Aug 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:43 AM UTC.
Analytics
kman86 is down $2.14K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:43 AM UTC.
$6.76 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 0.0% were buys. They run from May 4, 2026 UTC to Aug 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 198.93 | $0.140 | $11.94 | -$15.91 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.083 | $4.13 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 05:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 06:43 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 06:43 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 05:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $183.64 and losing ones cost $1.02K across the latest 50 settled positions. 14% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $55.17 on “Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?” (No); the largest loss, $140.05 on “Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Aug 2026. It has traded 499 markets. Its open positions are worth $123.82 across 62 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 138.15 |
| $0.168 |
| $9.81 |
| -$13.4 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 208.33 | $0.120 | $8.02 | -$16.98 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 276.76 | $0.170 | $6.78 | -$40.27 |
 Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 164.06 | $0.160 | $4.92 | -$21.33 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | No | 4.38 | $0.810 | $4.38 | +$0.83 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 4.99 | $0.750 | $4.34 | +$0.6 |
 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? | Yes | 122.72 | $0.114 | $4.17 | -$9.82 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 4.16 | $0.860 | $4.05 | +$0.47 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 4.18 | $0.666 | $3.74 | +$0.96 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.42 | $0.680 | $3.69 | +$0.69 |
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | No | 3.67 | $0.860 | $3.38 | +$0.22 |
 Will Trump deport 300-400k people? | No | 3.35 | $0.620 | $3.03 | +$0.95 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.94 | $0.660 | $2.87 | +$0.93 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 23.35 | $0.180 | $2.81 | -$1.39 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027? | Yes | 59.84 | $0.180 | $2.78 | -$7.99 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.490 | $2.7 | -$21.8 |
 Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.160 | $2.48 | -$11.93 |
 Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 123.14 | $0.114 | $2.46 | -$11.62 |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | No | 2.9 | $0.760 | $2.36 | +$0.16 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 2.68 | $0.590 | $2.33 | +$0.75 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.15 | $0.720 | $1.97 | +$0.42 |
 Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.04 | $0.226 | $1.92 | -$3.06 |
 Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.770 | $1.89 | +$0.35 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | Yes | 32.76 | $0.093 | $1.85 | -$1.2 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.210 |
| $4.2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | sell | 24.54 | $0.065 | $1.6 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 127.7 | $0.120 | $15.32 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 139.17 | $0.130 | $18.09 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 795.64 | $0.120 | $95.48 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.39K | $0.120 | $166.56 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.39K | $0.120 | $166.56 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 637.96 | $0.120 | $76.56 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 660.04 | $0.120 | $79.2 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 159 | $0.120 | $19.08 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.120 | $0.38 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 131.41 | $0.150 | $19.71 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.77 | $0.560 | $21.15 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 23.07 | $0.020 | $0.46 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 69.99 | $0.180 | $12.6 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.42 | $0.480 | $13.64 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.248 | $3.09 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.250 | $13.25 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Yes | sell | 22.85 | $0.080 | $1.83 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes | sell | 51.4 | $0.150 | $7.71 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.280 | $1.75 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.300 | $1.88 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.680 | $8.87 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.8 | $0.690 | $9.52 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No | sell | 24 | $0.784 | $18.82 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 34.34 | $0.530 | $18.2 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 7.66 | $0.590 | $4.52 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.47 | $0.690 | $7.22 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.87 | $0.821 | $31.09 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 173.33 | $0.140 | $24.27 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | sell | 29.99 | $0.150 | $4.5 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | sell | 59.79 | $0.160 | $9.57 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | sell | 11.22 | $0.110 | $1.23 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.110 | $4.84 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 148.11 | $0.170 | $25.18 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.130 | $0.15 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.130 | $0.78 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Yes | sell | 68.5 | $0.033 | $2.25 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Yes | sell | 127.74 | $0.100 | $12.77 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 Obama arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.