Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 55% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 270 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 2 Sep 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.7% on 2 Sep 2026 and the lowest 9% on 18 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 63 points up, to 87.5% on 13 Jun 2026. $134.22K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 12:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 270 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 2 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 55.0% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JuliusNakamoto | No | 12.39K |
| RoadmanDon | No | 1.58K |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No | 1.56K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ai-model-scores-90-on-frontiermath-benchmark-before-2027
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| calm.rabbit | No | 820.98 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 523.3 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | No | 466 |
| 3ea9d010798440 | No | 421.05 |
| rontro28 | No | 286.83 |
| Unsteady-Derivative | No | 243.9 |
| TheClaudeBurglar | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
