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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 438.26 | $0.492 | $378.44 | +$162.93 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.08K | $0.171 | $355.9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.787 |
| $175 |
| +$17.5 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 299.99 | $0.520 | $164.99 | +$9 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 129.72 | $0.755 | $110.26 | +$12.27 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 213.22 | $0.359 | $105.54 | +$28.91 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | OpenAI | 607.83 | $0.228 | $54.7 | -$83.87 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 43.79 | $0.746 | $38.86 | +$6.2 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 64.75 | $0.522 | $37.55 | +$3.75 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 31.08 | $0.552 | $28.75 | +$11.59 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 187.32 | $0.206 | $25.29 | -$13.23 |
 Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | 160.92 | $0.194 | $21.72 | -$9.44 |
 Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? | Microsoft | 21.56 | $0.340 | $12.29 | +$4.96 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 135.67 | $0.170 | $3.32 | -$19.74 |
 Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | Yes | 50.33 | $0.260 | $2.44 | -$10.65 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.460 | $2.43 | +$1.05 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 216.66 | $0.015 | $1.62 | -$1.63 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 125.01 | $0.031 | $0.94 | -$2.94 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.130 | $0.67 | -$0.2 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 676.18 | $0.003 | $0.34 | -$1.69 |
 Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 300 | $0.031 | $0.15 | -$9.3 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.182 |
| $18.2 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.182 | $18.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.024 | $9.6 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.012 | $3.6 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.203 | $40.6 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 181.28 | $0.191 | $34.62 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 246.73 | $0.012 | $2.96 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 265.31 | $0.340 | $90.21 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.271 | $10.86 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.390 | $15.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.436 | $43.61 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | buy | 174.44 | $0.760 | $132.57 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | buy | 30.38 | $0.750 | $22.79 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.720 | $23.76 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.700 | $350 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 229.67 | $0.640 | $146.99 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 186.47 | $0.530 | $98.83 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 309.43 | $0.700 | $216.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.375 | $56.25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 144.36 | $0.630 | $90.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | buy | 153.07 | $0.240 | $36.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.87 | $0.830 | $28.94 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 72.6 | $0.410 | $29.77 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 110.7 | $0.670 | $74.17 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 132.12 | $0.429 | $56.68 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.690 | $51.75 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.919 | $79.95 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 420.82 | $0.020 | $8.42 | May 29, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 97.4 | $0.250 | $24.35 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.170 | $42.59 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 225.81 | $0.910 | $205.49 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 225.8 | $0.930 | $209.99 | May 19, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.933 | $58.76 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 252.93 | $0.470 | $118.88 | May 8, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 134.05 | $0.052 | $6.97 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 456.31 | $0.999 | $455.85 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 147.82 | $0.915 | $135.21 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No | buy | 263.9 | $0.921 | $243.07 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No | buy | 216.91 | $0.984 | $213.54 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.955 | $38.21 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 238.05 | $0.568 | $135.21 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.795 | $79.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20.01 | Apr 30, 2026 |