Analytics
Yes is at 10%, down 10 points from 20.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 334 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59% on 4 May 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 23 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.5%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 27% on 17 May 2026.
300-400k ranks third of the 10 outcomes in “How many people will Trump deport in 2026?”. 400-500k leads at 66.5%; 500-600k is at 12.4%.
$15.34K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.54K, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 340 trades, $2.09K bought Yes and $2.08K bought No.
The largest Yes position is siick with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 5.3K. Ten wallets hold 88.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 334 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 20.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 10.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.33K |
| siick | Yes | 2.28K |
| gummy-usb | No | 1.11K |
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823
| Siziriv |
| Yes |
| 980.69 |
| iutwpfal | Yes | 677.25 |
| pingentfan1 | Yes | 414.83 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 278.86 |
| Mei-ji | Yes | 222.58 |
| xlefgerx | Yes | 218.59 |
| cakedefender | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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