Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.84K | $0.025 | $542.8 | -$154.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.780 | $4.68 | 17d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 271.2K |
| $0.003 |
| $406.8 |
| -$424.42 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 5.51K | $0.192 | $357.92 | -$699.54 |
 Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 87.08K | $0.006 | $304.76 | -$247.9 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.46K | $0.015 | $262.77 | -$20.73 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1.7K | $0.491 | $251.6 | -$583.99 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 6.55K | $0.038 | $196.62 | -$54.28 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 5.57K | $0.044 | $167.03 | -$80.24 |
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 35.18K | $0.004 | $158.32 | -$2.5 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 58.85K | $0.005 | $147.14 | -$144.43 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.76K | $0.026 | $118.62 | +$47.05 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 500 | $0.220 | $72.5 | -$37.5 |
 Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 41.74K | $0.006 | $62.61 | -$179.26 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.54K | $0.016 | $62.29 | +$21.49 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 82.86K | $0.004 | $41.43 | -$310.07 |
 Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.96K | $0.026 | $40.13 | -$11.46 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 280 | $0.190 | $39.2 | -$14 |
 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 78.33K | $0.004 | $39.16 | -$258.48 |
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 77.07K | $0.003 | $38.53 | -$206.47 |
 Will Trump deport 300-400k people? | Yes | 218.59 | $0.206 | $34.97 | -$9.97 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 880 | $0.160 | $27.72 | -$112.68 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 907.41 | $0.018 | $27.68 | +$11.17 |
 Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50K | $0.002 | $25 | -$75 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49.15K | $0.005 | $24.57 | -$236.01 |
| Will Trump deport more than 1m people? | Yes | 1.46K | $0.038 | $23.32 | -$32.58 |
| buy |
| 4.42K |
| $0.004 |
| $16.07 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.13K | $0.025 | $103.23 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.030 | $6.67 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 257 | $0.014 | $3.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?Yes | sell | 237.16 | $0.043 | $10.22 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.014 | $0.63 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.7K | $0.016 | $27.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 352 | $0.055 | $19.36 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.59 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.81 | $0.003 | $0.28 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 152.4 | $0.033 | $5.03 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 120.07 | $0.033 | $3.96 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.007 | $17.97 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 256 | $0.064 | $16.38 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.065 | $7.67 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.009 | $4.5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?Yes | buy | 547.71 | $0.007 | $3.83 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?Yes | buy | 427.54 | $0.006 | $2.57 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 540.75 | $0.070 | $37.85 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 249 | $0.062 | $15.44 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Yes | sell | 61.56 | $0.220 | $13.54 | May 23, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 130 | $0.190 | $24.7 | May 22, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 1.32K | $0.017 | $22.4 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 823.25 | $0.047 | $38.69 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 242.74 | $0.030 | $7.28 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.04K | $0.004 | $12.16 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.070 | $0.37 | May 7, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 499.99 | $0.021 | $10.5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 159 | $0.354 | $56.29 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.041 | $41.07 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.72K | $0.014 | $80.02 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6.29K | $0.014 | $88.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.015 | $19.67 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.7K | $0.016 | $75.23 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 408.28 | $0.005 | $2.04 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump deport 800-900k people?Yes | sell | 33.63 | $0.023 | $0.77 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 549.36 | $0.005 | $2.75 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 428 | $0.036 | $15.24 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 255 | $0.042 | $10.59 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 117.5 | $0.042 | $4.94 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.048 | $1.49 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.065 | $1.11 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.069 | $2.62 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.073 | $2.19 | Apr 19, 2026 |