Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10.57K | $0.500 | $8K | +$2.71K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 44.4 | $0.890 | $39.52 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.57K |
| $0.500 |
| $2.57K |
| -$2.71K |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 2.06K | $0.984 | $2.06K | +$27.39 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | No | 1.54K | $0.960 | $1.53K | +$56.21 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 1.83K | $0.805 | $1.51K | +$37.06 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 1.45K | $0.683 | $1.25K | +$255.94 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 665.48 | $0.590 | $489.13 | +$96.5 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | No | 822.68 | $0.659 | $464.81 | -$77.41 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026? | No | 470 | $0.856 | $455.9 | +$53.62 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30? | No | 404.5 | $0.880 | $402.68 | +$46.72 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher? | Yes | 407.08 | $0.880 | $369.02 | +$10.73 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 538.28 | $0.576 | $368.72 | +$58.45 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31? | No | 395.23 | $0.809 | $333.97 | +$14.2 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 442.39 | $0.707 | $316.31 | +$3.51 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by September 30? | No | 307.53 | $0.950 | $304.92 | +$12.76 |
 Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | Yes | 834.77 | $0.118 | $303.44 | +$204.61 |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 292.09 | $0.852 | $282.6 | +$33.63 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? | No | 384.49 | $0.747 | $275.29 | -$12.1 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of September 19? | Yes | 277.59 | $0.882 | $273.29 | +$28.51 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? | Yes | 306.43 | $0.792 | $268.13 | +$25.38 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.125T by September 30? | No | 274.69 | $0.880 | $265.76 | +$24.04 |
 Will BNB reach $900 in September? | No | 328.8 | $0.799 | $256.46 | -$6.29 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 275.61 | $0.514 | $248.05 | +$106.42 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30? | No | 247 | $0.810 | $244.16 | +$44.09 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.025T by September 30? | No | 238.63 | $0.930 | $232.9 | +$10.98 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.870 |
| $87 |
| 1h ago |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 4h ago |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?Yes | buy | 152.03 | $0.217 | $32.91 | 11h ago |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?Yes | buy | 123.88 | $0.166 | $20.57 | 11h ago |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?Yes | buy | 409.96 | $0.073 | $29.86 | 11h ago |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.770 | $231 | 11h ago |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 965.48 | $0.590 | $569.63 | 12h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.787 | $23.6 | 14h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | 14h ago |
 LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.140 | $0.71 | 15h ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?No | buy | 33.84 | $0.130 | $4.4 | 15h ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.120 | $3.6 | 15h ago |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?No | buy | 595.23 | $0.809 | $481.59 | 16h ago |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30?No | buy | 247 | $0.810 | $200.07 | 16h ago |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?Yes | buy | 148.9 | $0.104 | $15.48 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.207 | $6.2 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.985 | $1.33K | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 709.84 | $0.981 | $696.08 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.972 | $1.4K | 1d ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.485 | $9.7 | 1d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.640 | $28.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on September 11, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.802 | $80.2 | 2d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.790 | $142.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 216 | $0.970 | $209.52 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.956 | $57.37 | 3d ago |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.935 | $68.29 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.913 | $27.38 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.744 | $13.39 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | buy | 38.72 | $0.740 | $28.65 | 3d ago |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 171.66 | $0.731 | $125.54 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 176.38 | $0.702 | $123.78 | 3d ago |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | buy | 29.71 | $0.430 | $12.78 | 3d ago |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | buy | 79.36 | $0.419 | $33.25 | 3d ago |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 289.59 | $0.286 | $82.82 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.165 | $2.98 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | buy | 109.5 | $0.066 | $7.28 | 3d ago |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.031 | $0.43 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 78.69 | $0.023 | $1.84 | 3d ago |
| Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.830 | $52.29 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?No | sell | 44.65 | $0.839 | $37.46 | 3d ago |
| Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.750 | $105 | 4d ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | 4d ago |
| Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.493 | $59.2 | 4d ago |
| Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | buy | 425.83 | $0.958 | $408.03 | 4d ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of September 19?Yes | buy | 277.59 | $0.882 | $244.78 | 4d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 560 | $0.514 | $288.04 | 5d ago |