Analytics
Yes is at 87.5%, up 32 points from 55.5% when the market opened on 16 Sep 2026.
Across the 39 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 47% on 17 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 79.5%; a month before, 65%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 60% on 18 Sep 2026.
$1.19K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.18K since listing. The order book holds $12K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 85 trades, $1.34K bought Yes and $288.22 bought No.
The largest Yes position is KimchiCapital with 577 shares; the largest No position is asdasdasdasdasdasdasd with 314. Ten wallets hold 91.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Feb 2027, 96 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 16 Sep 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | 55.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 87.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KimchiCapital | Yes | 576.54 |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee | Yes | 536 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd | No | 314.38 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan publicly announces that he is seeking to become the highest-ranking Republican in the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that convenes in January 2027, at any point between market creation and the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for that Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a person will run to be the "highest-ranking Republican" if they are running for either Speaker of the House or, if that is not applicable, the top leader of the House Republican Conference (usually the Minority Leader). A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine, and third-party speculation or reports that Jim Jordan may run absent an announcement by him, will not count. Once a qualifying announcement has been made within the market's time frame, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether Jim Jordan subsequently withdraws, loses, or the position is filled by another person. If Jim Jordan does not make a qualifying announcement on or before the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for the Congress convening in January 2027 (or, if that election has not occurred, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements by Jim Jordan (e.g., via speech or a post from a verified social media account); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jim-jordan-run-for-republican-house-leader
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 299.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 174.7 |
| 2B9S | No | 100 |
| predictdogepepewif | No | 80 |
| grove223 | No | 67.59 |
| PPMT | Yes | 59.23 |
| PMWolf | Yes | 53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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