Analytics
Yes is at 98.6%, up 21 points from 77.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.6% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 77.5% on 2 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 98.4%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 93% on 3 Oct 2026.
ByteDance is the favourite of the 10 outcomes in “3rd largest private company end of October?”, ahead of Perplexity at 0.7%.
$14.94K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $643.27, with a 1.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 199 trades, $4.41K bought Yes and $308.9 bought No.
The largest Yes position is dedidanc with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is rocky42024 with 548. Ten wallets hold 86.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 77.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 98.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dedidanc | Yes | 1.68K |
| Olcan | Yes | 1.23K |
| rocky42024 | No | 548 |
This market will resolve to the listed company with the third largest private market valuation on the last trading day of October 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. If two or more companies are tied for the third highest valuation, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data. The resolution sources for this market are: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 539.55 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 385.28 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 349.98 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 321 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 294.33 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 204 |
| lissartter | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-private-company-end-of-october-2026
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