Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.37M | $0.430 | $732.94K | +$143.97K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?No | sell | 225.08 | $0.001 | $0.23 | 3h ago |
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| No |
| 70K |
| $0.500 |
| $52.96K |
| +$17.95K |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 50.45K | $0.867 | $45.66K | +$1.94K |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 34.39K | $0.785 | $30.78K | +$3.78K |
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 29.92K | $0.546 | $25.14K | +$8.79K |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 24.78K | $0.818 | $22.93K | +$2.66K |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 26.17K | $0.873 | $22.9K | +$52.63 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 70K | $0.500 | $17.05K | -$17.95K |
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 16.01K | $0.822 | $14.73K | +$1.56K |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.96K | $0.904 | $13.24K | -$280.64 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 13.63K | $0.818 | $11.65K | +$508.56 |
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | Yes | 12.42K | $0.878 | $10.68K | -$228.66 |
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 11.09K | $0.883 | $9.92K | +$134.01 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20K | $0.660 | $9.1K | -$4.11K |
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | No | 9.18K | $0.799 | $8.49K | +$1.16K |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 8.91K | $0.865 | $8.24K | +$532.75 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.56K | $0.665 | $8.06K | -$960.01 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 8.49K | $0.852 | $7.34K | +$114.61 |
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 7.76K | $0.921 | $7.22K | +$68.89 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 10.3K | $0.731 | $7.16K | -$367.58 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 9.36K | $0.775 | $6.97K | -$280.28 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.3K | $0.883 | $6.73K | -$3.25K |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.66K | $0.929 | $6.44K | +$255.45 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 12.23K | $0.566 | $6.42K | -$507.35 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 13.4K | $0.726 | $6.3K | -$3.43K |
| sell |
| 12.73 |
| $0.040 |
| $0.51 |
| 5h ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | sell | 387.27 | $0.049 | $18.97 | 5h ago |
LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?No | sell | 609.65 | $0.001 | $0.61 | 8h ago |
Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | sell | 394.79 | $0.804 | $317.33 | 8h ago |
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.982 | $9.82K | 8h ago |
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.006 | $1.2 | 8h ago |
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 705 | $0.017 | $11.99 | 8h ago |
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.019 | $7.55 | 8h ago |
Will Ursula von der Leyen attend King Harald V's funeral?No | sell | 121.65 | $0.950 | $115.57 | 14h ago |
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes | sell | 170.08 | $0.030 | $5.1 | 14h ago |
Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.040 | $0.91 | 14h ago |
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?No | sell | 400 | $0.040 | $16 | 14h ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | sell | 9.82 | $0.037 | $0.36 | 15h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 479.81 | $0.377 | $181.03 | 1d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 520 | $0.408 | $212.2 | 1d ago |
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.938 | $18.76 | 1d ago |
Will Macy's say "Customer" 15+ times during earnings call?No | sell | 34.17 | $0.001 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 0.62 | $0.930 | $0.58 | 1d ago |
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 45.41 | $0.040 | $1.82 | 1d ago |
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.01 | $0.070 | $0.56 | 1d ago |
Will Coventry City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 21 | $0.940 | $19.74 | 1d ago |
Will Troyes qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 70 | $0.923 | $64.6 | 1d ago |
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 1d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.590 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.610 | $0.18 | 1d ago |
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | sell | 86.71 | $0.080 | $6.94 | 1d ago |
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 70.95 | $0.080 | $5.68 | 1d ago |
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes | sell | 377.77 | $0.040 | $15.11 | 1d ago |
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | sell | 86.71 | $0.080 | $6.94 | 1d ago |
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 309.15 | $0.002 | $0.62 | 2d ago |
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.003 | $1.32 | 2d ago |
Will "By Any Means" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.5 | 2d ago |
Will Prince William attend King Harald V's funeral?No | sell | 6.43 | $0.011 | $0.07 | 2d ago |
Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.34 | 2d ago |
Will Melody Morris be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.001 | $0.55 | 2d ago |
Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.003 | $1.13 | 2d ago |
GTA VI released by November 30?No | sell | 34.02 | $0.053 | $1.79 | 2d ago |
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?No | sell | 157.83 | $0.846 | $133.58 | 2d ago |
Will Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?No | sell | 200 | $0.828 | $165.59 | 2d ago |
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 29.36 | $0.560 | $16.44 | 2d ago |
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.150 | $0.58 | 2d ago |
| sell | 0.25 | $0.890 | $0.22 | 2d ago |
Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.910 | $4.77 | 2d ago |
Will Anna Wintour attend Carolina Herrera?No | sell | 11.48 | $0.040 | $0.46 | 2d ago |
Over $4M committed to the Linera public sale?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.020 | $1.6 | 2d ago |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?Yes | sell | 19.89 | $0.240 | $4.77 | 2d ago |
Will JD Vance say "Wife" during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.580 | $30.74 | 2d ago |
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?No | sell | 129.36 | $0.475 | $61.42 | 2d ago |
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,400?Yes | sell | 91.16 | $0.010 | $0.91 | 2d ago |