Analytics
Yes is at 12%, down 43 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 31 Jan 2026.
Across the 250 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 18 Apr 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.5%; a month before, 15%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 37.5% on 4 Feb 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?”.
$338.65 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $160.19K since listing. The order book holds $17.92K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.21K bought Yes and $24.03K bought No; the largest was a $4.75K buy of No at 87.3¢.
The largest Yes position is betwick with 45.6K shares; the largest No position is ArmageddonRewardsBilly with 24.9K. Ten wallets hold 87.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 250 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 54.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| betwick | Yes | 45.6K |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 24.93K |
| nedsta | No | 5.49K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/venezuela-presidential-election-scheduled-by
| stupid22 |
| No |
| 4.89K |
| tetrase | No | 4.09K |
| Blahblah6 | Yes | 4.02K |
| wan123 | No | 3.76K |
| unsc | No | 3.45K |
| vinii | No | 3.26K |
| eCash | No | 2.49K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
