Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 124K | $0.500 | $94.18K | +$32.18K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.67K | $0.440 | $1.61K | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 38.73K |
| $0.835 |
| $33.5K |
| +$1.18K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 124K | $0.500 | $29.82K | -$32.18K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.2K | $0.878 | $24.24K | +$1.23K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 23.21K | $0.704 | $21.7K | +$5.37K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 25.38K | $0.796 | $21.7K | +$1.49K |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 23.65K | $0.762 | $21.41K | +$3.39K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 18.66K | $0.733 | $13.9K | +$226.95 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.72K | $0.872 | $10.13K | +$785.83 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 10K | $0.950 | $9.68K | +$180 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 14.24K | $0.659 | $9.4K | +$6.4 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.930 | $9.35K | +$50.73 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 9.85K | $0.778 | $7.74K | +$64.28 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 8.56K | $0.850 | $7.32K | +$39.21 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 15.96K | $0.393 | $7.26K | +$994.05 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 7.28K | $0.766 | $6.84K | +$1.27K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10K | $0.430 | $4.45K | +$150.03 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.32K | $0.414 | $2.67K | +$56.57 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.740 | $2.39K | +$165 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.49K | $0.510 | $2.1K | +$832.9 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.94K | $0.548 | $1.65K | +$583.8 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | No | 3.5K | $0.570 | $1.43K | -$559.99 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | Yes | 3.86K | $0.411 | $1.31K | -$274.23 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.526 | $1.21K | -$362.48 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 1.78K | $0.597 | $988.9 | -$75.58 |
| buy |
| 450 |
| $0.610 |
| $274.5 |
| 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 679.22 | $0.480 | $326.03 | 8h ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.170 | $4.25 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 52.02 | $0.410 | $21.33 | 21h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.71K | $0.670 | $5.16K | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 24.21 | $0.460 | $11.14 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 33.68 | $0.448 | $15.1 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.660 | $1.65K | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.73K | $0.850 | $28.66K | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 857.17 | $0.680 | $582.88 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.16K | $0.950 | $6.8K | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 162.9 | $0.040 | $6.52 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 6.17K | $0.050 | $308.58 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.055 | $55.15 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.400 | $634.01 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 423.08 | $0.390 | $165 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 7.24K | $0.420 | $3.04K | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 175.33 | $0.360 | $63.12 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 84 | $0.400 | $33.6 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 5.5K | $0.256 | $1.41K | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.37 | $0.310 | $47.85 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.760 | $114 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.51K | $0.414 | $2.28K | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 12.53 | $0.810 | $10.15 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 73.74 | $0.650 | $47.93 | 3d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.63K | $0.871 | $4.04K | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 8.47K | $0.860 | $7.28K | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 5.8K | $0.730 | $4.23K | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.89K | $0.320 | $923.74 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 101.7 | $0.480 | $48.82 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 415.91 | $0.500 | $207.96 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 201.79 | $0.320 | $64.57 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 446.26 | $0.320 | $142.8 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.75K | $0.330 | $1.24K | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 159.08 | $0.310 | $49.31 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 96.74 | $0.310 | $29.99 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.12K | $0.320 | $1.64K | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 358 | $0.420 | $150.36 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 128.94 | $0.540 | $69.63 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.320 | $648.28 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.320 | $383.93 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 426.95 | $0.531 | $226.76 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 2.9K | $0.691 | $2K | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 144.1 | $0.560 | $80.7 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 308.96 | $0.400 | $123.58 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.740 | $2.22K | 4d ago |