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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 18.12K | $0.785 | $15.49K | +$1.26K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.92K | $0.920 | $1.77K | 1d ago |
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| No |
| 14.98K |
| $0.910 |
| $14.5K |
| +$861.31 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | Yes | 14.04K | $0.900 | $13.42K | +$784.09 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 13.42K | $0.757 | $11.74K | +$1.58K |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 11.95K | $0.776 | $11.17K | +$1.9K |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 12.69K | $0.878 | $10.98K | -$164.34 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 11.35K | $0.876 | $9.03K | -$921.1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.773 | $8.31K | +$585.02 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 10.18K | $0.905 | $8.2K | -$1.02K |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 8.05K | $0.906 | $7.36K | +$73.92 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.33K | $0.836 | $5.91K | +$625.46 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 6.58K | $0.725 | $5.63K | +$857.02 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 5.92K | $0.927 | $5.45K | -$40 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 4K | $0.960 | $3.97K | +$132 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 4K | $0.960 | $3.91K | +$66 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 2.3K | $0.836 | $2.03K | +$113.6 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.29K | $0.743 | $1.16K | +$202.47 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 497.1 | $0.786 | $454.85 | +$64.14 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | No | 117.65 | $0.780 | $114.77 | +$23.05 |
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | No | 36.25 | $0.800 | $34.26 | +$5.26 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | No | 20.83 | $0.910 | $20.38 | +$1.43 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.840 |
| $25.2 |
| 2d ago |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.838 | $33.5 | 2d ago |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 299.98 | $0.830 | $248.98 | 3d ago |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 3d ago |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | 3d ago |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 922.09 | $0.838 | $772.56 | 3d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 4K | $0.930 | $3.72K | 3d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 4K | $0.960 | $3.84K | 5d ago |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.819 | $1.05K | 6d ago |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 57.15 | $0.860 | $49.15 | 7d ago |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 645 | $0.870 | $561.15 | 7d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.910 | $1.37K | 7d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 625.83 | $0.900 | $563.25 | 7d ago |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 187 | $0.880 | $164.56 | 8d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.850 | $1.7K | 8d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | 8d ago |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.849 | $50.94 | 8d ago |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.848 | $25.43 | 8d ago |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 248 | $0.847 | $210 | 8d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.961 | $1.18K | 8d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.910 | $1.82K | 8d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 908.41 | $0.860 | $781.23 | 8d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | 8d ago |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.916 | $51.31 | 8d ago |
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 83.59 | $0.999 | $83.51 | 10d ago |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No | sell | 462.92 | $0.998 | $461.99 | 10d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 10d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 2.7K | $0.910 | $2.46K | 10d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 388.42 | $0.900 | $349.58 | 10d ago |
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 265.51 | $0.999 | $265.24 | 10d ago |
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | sell | 698.03 | $0.998 | $696.63 | 10d ago |
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 74.81 | $0.998 | $74.66 | 10d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.999 | $1.03K | 10d ago |
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | 10d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.900 | $3.6K | 10d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.960 | $2.88K | 11d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 3.03K | $0.998 | $3.03K | 11d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.890 | $890 | 11d ago |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.33K | $0.997 | $1.32K | 12d ago |
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36.25 | $0.800 | $29 | 12d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 2.95K | $0.900 | $2.65K | 12d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 7.5K | $0.890 | $6.68K | 12d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 7.57K | $0.999 | $7.56K | 12d ago |
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | sell | 851.98 | $0.997 | $849.42 | 13d ago |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 9.79K | $0.884 | $8.66K | 13d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | 13d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.997 | $1.2K | 13d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 7.5K | $0.997 | $7.48K | 13d ago |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 598 | $0.870 | $520.26 | 13d ago |