Analytics
betwick has made $624.75K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 68.04K | $0.707 | $48.65K | +$522.99 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 340 | 0 | $0 | |
| uncategorized | +$787.98K | $1.78M | 14,035 | 505 | 26.5% | $277.85K |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-04 01:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
30 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 10:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 10:47 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 01:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.34M and losing ones cost $553.56K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $139.84K on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?” (Yes); the largest loss, $100.97K on “Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?” (No).
It has traded 712 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($1.78M). Its open positions are worth $219.82K across 30 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 29.88K |
| $0.970 |
| $29.03K |
| +$44.82 |
 Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 27.32K | $0.920 | $25.14K | $0 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 24.65K | $0.750 | $24.45K | +$5.97K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 102.56K | $0.250 | $18.97K | -$6.72K |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 100K | $0.160 | $17.5K | +$1.5K |
 Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | No | 123.31K | $0.058 | $9.68K | +$2.5K |
 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 13.46K | $0.567 | $8.41K | +$775.02 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 109.27K | $0.117 | $7.1K | -$5.71K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 7.09K | $0.538 | $4.36K | +$544.32 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.65K | $0.654 | $4.12K | +$430.91 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.6K | $0.505 | $3.88K | -$19.16K |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 176.53K | $0.114 | $3.71K | -$16.46K |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 3.04K | $0.819 | $3.03K | +$538.11 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 21.23K | $0.168 | $2.34K | -$1.24K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 9.91K | $0.189 | $1.73K | -$143.21 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 16.47K | $0.152 | $1.73K | -$779.67 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 300K | $0.009 | $1.35K | -$1.35K |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 9.11K | $0.173 | $1.32K | -$257.97 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 66.22K | $0.024 | $860.82 | -$710.77 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 15.87K | $0.136 | $698.19 | -$1.46K |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 14.93K | $0.032 | $649.58 | +$178.38 |
 Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 2.3K | $0.710 | $573.95 | -$1.05K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 32.93K | $0.090 | $395.14 | -$2.57K |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.5K | $0.717 | $49.5 | -$11.77K |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
