Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 42 points from 42.5% when the market opened on 3 Jun 2026.
Across the 144 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.3%; a month before, 2.4%. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 4.9% on 19 Sep 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Anthropic IPO by __?”.
$31.77K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.48M since listing. The order book holds $94.78K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $670.48 bought Yes and $77.43K bought No; the largest was a $43.86K sell of No at 99.6¢.
The largest Yes position is ScaryDream with 99.7K shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 135.4K. Ten wallets hold 59.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 144 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2026 | 42.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elmcap2 | No | 135.37K |
| ScaryDream | Yes | 99.66K |
| 033033033 | No | 25K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by
| BabyGroot |
| Yes |
| 16.1K |
| Skaliz | No | 14.21K |
| Kind-Substitution | No | 12.36K |
| Paul973973 | No | 11.4K |
| zwxokx2 | No | 10.04K |
| Powerful-Table | Yes | 10.02K |
| tourists | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
