Analytics
Yes is at 28%, down 21 points from 49% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026, the highest close was 49% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 28% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 28% on 27 Oct 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Anthropic IPO by __?”.
$4K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4K since listing. The order book holds $4.78K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 48 trades, $238.3 bought Yes and $2.01K bought No.
The largest Yes position is AiBird with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is LehmanBrother2.0 with 1.5K. Ten wallets hold 89.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Nov 2026, 23 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 28.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LehmanBrother2.0 | No | 1.54K |
| AiBird | Yes | 1.33K |
| AlAhmeda | Yes | 420 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by
1 more market, none above 0.1%.
| omph |
| No |
| 371.51 |
| flyingkite | No | 239.88 |
| lissartter | Yes | 231.3 |
| Konfucious | No | 225 |
| attempt-most | Yes | 220 |
| robert-mukhametov | No | 125 |
| JsonStatham | Yes | 118 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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