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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.686 | $201.25 | +$29.75 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 106.39 | $0.610 | $64.9 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.847 |
| $199.9 |
| +$30.4 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 244.2 | $0.577 | $191.7 | +$50.76 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 256.54 | $0.723 | $178.3 | -$7.28 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 399.86 | $0.406 | $168.74 | +$6.28 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 150.9 | $0.938 | $149.92 | +$8.32 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 312.62 | $0.459 | $134.43 | -$8.98 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | No | 176.41 | $0.511 | $115.55 | +$25.35 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 124.99 | $0.628 | $108.11 | +$29.57 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 171.67 | $0.597 | $105.58 | +$3.13 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.930 | $98.05 | +$5.05 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 150.39 | $0.651 | $93.77 | -$4.12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 100 | $0.787 | $92.5 | +$13.82 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.789 | $91.75 | +$12.85 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | No | 105.14 | $0.460 | $78.33 | +$29.91 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 101.96 | $0.778 | $72.39 | -$6.91 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100.41 | $0.593 | $69.78 | +$10.2 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | No | 175 | $0.400 | $69.13 | -$0.88 |
 Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | No | 128.02 | $0.507 | $67.21 | +$2.3 |
 Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | Yes | 234 | $0.278 | $59.67 | -$5.49 |
 Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026? | No | 74.84 | $0.507 | $50.52 | +$12.57 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 75.22 | $0.529 | $50.02 | +$10.22 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 60.79 | $0.748 | $49.54 | +$4.08 |
 Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 50 | $0.890 | $46 | +$1.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.734 | $45.75 | +$9.05 |
| buy |
| 26.53 |
| $0.710 |
| $18.84 |
| 1h ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | 3h ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | sell | 35.04 | $0.740 | $25.93 | 3h ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 3h ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | buy | 56.54 | $0.700 | $39.58 | 4h ago |
| Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | 5h ago |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.180 | $10.8 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.540 | $33.48 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.540 | $26.46 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 91.83 | $0.340 | $31.22 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 15h ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | 16h ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 135.73 | $0.021 | $2.79 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 75.11 | $0.360 | $27.05 | 16h ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 22.43 | $0.130 | $2.92 | 16h ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 63.3 | $0.079 | $5.03 | 16h ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.588 | $29.4 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.610 | $96.99 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 99.95 | $0.600 | $59.97 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 99.94 | $0.600 | $59.96 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 93.48 | $0.380 | $35.52 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.630 | $29.61 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 139 | $0.420 | $58.38 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.380 | $2.7 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 89.93 | $0.324 | $29.13 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 52.92 | $0.670 | $35.46 | 18h ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 68.84 | $0.238 | $16.36 | 18h ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 100.38 | $0.514 | $51.63 | 18h ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 21.76 | $0.310 | $6.75 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | 18h ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | 20h ago |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.663 | $49.06 | 20h ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | 23h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 23h ago |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Yes | sell | 184 | $0.330 | $60.72 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.912 | $68.4 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.418 | $41.81 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.650 | $16.25 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.910 | $45.49 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.910 | $90.99 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 75 | $0.650 | $48.75 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.418 | $41.84 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.912 | $68.4 | 1d ago |