Analytics
Yes is at 8%, down 12 points from 19.5% when the market opened on 14 Nov 2025.
Across the 323 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38.5% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 27 Feb 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 32% on 30 Apr 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “How high will inflation get in 2026?”.
$342.4K has traded since listing. The order book holds $22.09K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.82K bought Yes and $18.65K bought No; the largest was a $4.86K sell of No at 91.0¢.
The largest Yes position is GypSea1 with 23K shares; the largest No position is ArmageddonRewardsBilly with 27.3K. Ten wallets hold 75.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 323 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 19.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 27.31K |
| GypSea1 | Yes | 23K |
| cookedquail | Yes | 20K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026
| MKIsabella |
| Yes |
| 18.32K |
| kirby26 | No | 15.86K |
| Capital-Endoderm | Yes | 6.75K |
| Musk5 | No | 4.73K |
| firegold | No | 3.9K |
| Ondra | Yes | 3.16K |
| ourdemocracy | No | 3.05K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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