Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 12:38 AM UTC.
Analytics
ourdemocracy has made $3.88K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 12:38 AM UTC.
$264.75 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Oct 3, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 9.95K | $0.881 | $8.66K | -$106.23 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | 2h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 08:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 00:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 00:38 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 08:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $321.17K and losing ones cost $320.65K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $182.61K on “No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $91.15K on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 640 markets. Its open positions are worth $39.08K across 50 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5K |
| $0.849 |
| $4.6K |
| +$354.25 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 3.05K | $0.914 | $2.8K | +$18 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | No | 2.72K | $0.971 | $2.7K | +$64.77 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 2K | $0.941 | $1.92K | +$34.6 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.63K | $0.960 | $1.62K | +$55.35 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 1.57K | $0.908 | $1.48K | +$61.08 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.947 | $1.48K | +$57.5 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? | No | 1.64K | $0.907 | $1.47K | -$19.16 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.799 | $1.33K | +$129.48 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.791 | $1.11K | -$83.83 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | No | 1K | $0.982 | $995.5 | +$13.51 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | No | 1K | $0.987 | $975 | -$11.65 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 1.1K | $0.837 | $955.8 | +$35.71 |
 Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | No | 665.96 | $0.938 | $637.32 | +$12.54 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October? | No | 650 | $0.967 | $629.2 | +$0.38 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 510 | $0.904 | $502.35 | +$41.05 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 500 | $0.930 | $494.5 | +$29.5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | No | 555.14 | $0.865 | $481.59 | +$1.18 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 407.03 | $0.745 | $374.47 | +$71.35 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | No | 321.49 | $0.933 | $308.63 | +$8.63 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | No | 300 | $0.975 | $296.4 | +$3.9 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in October? | No | 300 | $0.973 | $291.6 | -$0.3 |
 Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | No | 300 | $0.900 | $286.5 | +$16.5 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | No | 289 | $0.966 | $267.04 | -$12.14 |
| buy |
| 3.03K |
| $0.910 |
| $2.76K |
| 2h ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200.02 | $0.971 | $194.22 | 7d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 207.08 | $0.870 | $180.11 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31?No | buy | 130 | $0.964 | $125.34 | 7d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.947 | $94.79 | 12d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?No | sell | 2.07K | $0.960 | $1.99K | 14d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?No | buy | 1K | $0.982 | $982 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?No | buy | 530.22 | $0.970 | $514.31 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?No | buy | 1K | $0.970 | $970 | 17d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31?No | buy | 50.1 | $0.960 | $48.1 | 17d ago |
 RFK Jr. Out by October 31?No | buy | 57.36 | $0.979 | $56.16 | 17d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?No | buy | 195 | $0.940 | $183.3 | 17d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.816 | $408.21 | 17d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No | sell | 213.74 | $0.970 | $207.33 | 19d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?No | buy | 80.91 | $0.975 | $78.91 | 20d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?No | buy | 300 | $0.975 | $292.5 | 20d ago |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in October?No | buy | 300 | $0.973 | $291.9 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?No | buy | 1K | $0.987 | $986.65 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?No | buy | 120 | $0.970 | $116.4 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?No | buy | 200 | $0.959 | $191.8 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.972 | $1.15K | 20d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.910 | $910 | 20d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | 20d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 575.27 | $0.830 | $477.47 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 21d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.975 | $243.75 | 21d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.975 | $97.5 | 21d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No | sell | 26.51 | $0.970 | $25.71 | 22d ago |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October?No | buy | 650 | $0.967 | $628.82 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.930 | $102.3 | 22d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.830 | $249 | 22d ago |
| Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?No | buy | 120.79 | $0.925 | $111.73 | 22d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.810 | $404.99 | 22d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 316.27 | $0.830 | $262.5 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | 22d ago |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | 22d ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 23d ago |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | 23d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | 23d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 800 | $0.820 | $656 | 23d ago |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?No | buy | 182.58 | $0.976 | $178.28 | 23d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 140 | $0.950 | $133 | 23d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.940 | $1.28K | 23d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | 23d ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 289 | $0.966 | $279.17 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.890 | $267 | 23d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.