Analytics
ourdemocracy has made $3.88K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 9.95K | $0.881 | $8.71K | -$56.47 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 08:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 01:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 01:20 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 08:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $321.17K and losing ones cost $320.65K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $182.61K on “No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $91.15K on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 640 markets. Its open positions are worth $39.15K across 50 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5K |
| $0.849 |
| $4.6K |
| +$354.25 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 3.05K | $0.914 | $2.8K | +$18 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | No | 2.72K | $0.971 | $2.7K | +$64.77 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 2K | $0.941 | $1.92K | +$34.6 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.63K | $0.960 | $1.62K | +$55.35 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 1.57K | $0.908 | $1.48K | +$61.08 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.947 | $1.48K | +$58.25 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? | No | 1.64K | $0.907 | $1.47K | -$19.16 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.799 | $1.33K | +$129.48 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.791 | $1.11K | -$83.83 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | No | 1K | $0.982 | $995.5 | +$13.51 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | No | 1K | $0.987 | $980 | -$6.65 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 1.1K | $0.837 | $955.8 | +$35.71 |
 Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | No | 665.96 | $0.938 | $637.99 | +$13.2 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October? | No | 650 | $0.967 | $629.2 | +$0.38 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 510 | $0.904 | $502.35 | +$41.05 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 500 | $0.930 | $497.25 | +$32.25 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | No | 555.14 | $0.865 | $482.97 | +$2.56 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 407.03 | $0.745 | $374.47 | +$71.35 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | No | 321.49 | $0.933 | $308.79 | +$8.79 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | No | 300 | $0.975 | $296.25 | +$3.75 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in October? | No | 300 | $0.973 | $291.6 | -$0.3 |
 Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | No | 300 | $0.900 | $286.5 | +$16.5 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | No | 289 | $0.966 | $267.18 | -$11.99 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
