Analytics
firegold has made $16.85K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 25.51K | $0.760 | $25.03K | +$5.63K |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| crypto | $0 | $0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | $60.34 |
| politics | $0 | $0 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% | $58.88 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 16:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
31 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 02:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 02:57 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 16:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $47.6K and losing ones cost $38.72K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.21K on “Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?” (No); the largest loss, $8.1K on “Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 684 markets. Its open positions are worth $100K across 31 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 24K |
| $0.655 |
| $22.44K |
| +$6.73K |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18.26K | $0.836 | $17.67K | +$2.4K |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.7K | $0.814 | $7.48K | +$1.22K |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.89K | $0.632 | $4.75K | +$398.82 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 3.9K | $0.739 | $3.55K | +$667.47 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 3.6K | $0.750 | $2.92K | +$220.59 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.21K | $0.767 | $2.71K | +$251.37 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.72K | $0.765 | $2.35K | -$3.55K |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 2.5K | $0.856 | $2.14K | -$2.5 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 1.82K | $0.869 | $1.63K | +$48.05 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.591 | $1.48K | +$365.32 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.86K | $0.605 | $1.05K | -$75.02 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.540 | $934.73 | +$384.29 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.906 | $905 | -$1 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5K | $0.130 | $525 | -$125 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.954 | $485.75 | +$8.79 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 506.04 | $0.617 | $430.13 | +$117.76 |
 UK Recession in 2026? | No | 334.72 | $0.870 | $317.98 | +$26.77 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | $0.917 | $244.63 | +$15.46 |
 Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? | Yes | 300 | $0.780 | $242.7 | +$8.7 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | 212.42 | $0.849 | $204.98 | +$24.59 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | No | 198.6 | $0.560 | $136.04 | +$24.83 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.230 | $122.4 | +$76.4 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.550 | $95 | -$15 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
