Analytics
firegold has made $16.85K on Polymarket, #9,403 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 25.51K | $0.760 | $25.03K | +$5.63K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 07:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
31 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 12:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 12:40 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 16:19 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $47.6K and losing ones cost $38.72K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.21K on “Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?” (No); the largest loss, $8.1K on “Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 684 markets. Its open positions are worth $100.63K across 31 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 24K |
| $0.655 |
| $22.66K |
| +$6.94K |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18.26K | $0.836 | $17.71K | +$2.44K |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.7K | $0.814 | $7.49K | +$1.22K |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.89K | $0.632 | $4.76K | +$409.16 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 3.9K | $0.739 | $3.57K | +$686.97 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 3.6K | $0.750 | $2.98K | +$276.45 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.21K | $0.767 | $2.9K | +$443.86 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.53K | $0.765 | $2.3K | -$3.47K |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 2.5K | $0.856 | $2.16K | +$22.5 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 1.82K | $0.869 | $1.63K | +$48.05 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.591 | $1.49K | +$384.11 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.86K | $0.605 | $1.08K | -$47.18 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.540 | $949 | +$398.56 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.906 | $925 | +$19 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5K | $0.130 | $525 | -$125 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.954 | $475.25 | -$1.71 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 506.04 | $0.617 | $435.19 | +$122.82 |
 UK Recession in 2026? | No | 334.72 | $0.870 | $317.98 | +$26.77 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | $0.917 | $244.75 | +$15.58 |
 Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? | Yes | 300 | $0.780 | $242.25 | +$8.25 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | 212.42 | $0.849 | $204.98 | +$24.59 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.230 | $148 | +$102 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | No | 198.6 | $0.560 | $138.03 | +$26.81 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.550 | $101 | -$9 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 119 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
