Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 11.05K | $0.865 | $10.76K | +$1.21K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 1h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 9.3K |
| $0.847 |
| $7.3K |
| -$573.36 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8K | $0.443 | $4.28K | +$733.56 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 4.6K | $0.869 | $4.2K | +$207.45 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? | Yes | 3.62K | $0.954 | $3.53K | +$72.78 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4.25K | $0.885 | $3.42K | -$338.81 |
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 3.25K | $0.978 | $3.2K | +$28.3 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8K | $0.241 | $2.44K | +$514.04 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2.55K | $0.913 | $2.36K | +$31.21 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 2.8K | $0.746 | $1.88K | -$211.5 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 1.95K | $0.843 | $1.74K | +$101.6 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.919 | $1.72K | +$62.61 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 235K | $0.021 | $1.64K | -$3.26K |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.956 | $1.46K | +$18.97 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.6K | $0.893 | $1.43K | +$3.57 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 1.32K | $0.983 | $1.3K | +$0.42 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe? | Yes | 1.32K | $0.969 | $1.29K | +$3.21 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 1.28K | $0.964 | $1.24K | +$4.58 |
 Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? | No | 1.22K | $0.969 | $1.19K | +$7.69 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 1.16K | $0.972 | $1.14K | +$17.42 |
 Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026? | No | 1.07K | $0.957 | $1.04K | +$9.86 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 1.06K | $0.920 | $977.65 | +$5.29 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.837 | $908 | +$18.88 |
 Lula participates in debate before first round? | No | 1.4K | $0.507 | $860.07 | +$150.8 |
 Will Truist fail by end of 2026? | No | 870.4 | $0.959 | $842.11 | +$7.64 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.950 |
| $9.5 |
| 1h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?No | buy | 108.42 | $0.220 | $23.85 | 2h ago |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | sell | 63.01 | $0.750 | $47.26 | 2h ago |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.915 | $91.48 | 2h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 30.1 | $0.840 | $25.28 | 11h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.13 | $0.830 | $35.8 | 11h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | buy | 42.62 | $0.860 | $36.65 | 11h ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | 11h ago |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 93.33 | $0.983 | $91.75 | 11h ago |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 101.2 | $0.985 | $99.68 | 11h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 50.1 | $0.971 | $48.67 | 11h ago |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.926 | $123.16 | 18h ago |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?No | buy | 250.15 | $0.805 | $201.31 | 19h ago |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | sell | 3.01K | $0.103 | $310.36 | 19h ago |
 Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.958 | $0.05 | 19h ago |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | sell | 60 | $0.125 | $7.5 | 19h ago |
 Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | 19h ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes | buy | 239.49 | $0.195 | $46.71 | 19h ago |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026?Yes | buy | 193.32 | $0.032 | $6.19 | 22h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?No | buy | 75 | $0.190 | $14.25 | 22h ago |
 Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 140.03 | $0.927 | $129.81 | 22h ago |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.925 | $92.5 | 22h ago |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 17.87 | $0.923 | $16.5 | 22h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.970 | $48.49 | 22h ago |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 50.01 | $0.920 | $46.01 | 22h ago |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | 22h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?No | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | 22h ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes | buy | 240.09 | $0.177 | $42.41 | 22h ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes | buy | 34.1 | $0.145 | $4.94 | 22h ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.154 | $3.08 | 22h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?No | buy | 125.2 | $0.150 | $18.78 | 22h ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes | buy | 57.17 | $0.144 | $8.23 | 22h ago |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 65 | $0.987 | $64.16 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.586 | $29.3 | 1d ago |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No | sell | 4.77 | $0.958 | $4.57 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | sell | 211.25 | $0.929 | $196.25 | 1d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 1d ago |
 Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.530 | $2.81 | 1d ago |
| Lula participates in debate before first round?No | sell | 38.37 | $0.660 | $25.32 | 1d ago |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 130 | $0.986 | $128.21 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | sell | 155 | $0.933 | $144.62 | 1d ago |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 30 | $0.993 | $29.79 | 1d ago |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 111.31 | $0.990 | $110.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | 1d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing | sell | 140.27 | $0.994 | $139.43 | 1d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in August?Yes | buy | 398.27 | $0.130 | $51.78 | 1d ago |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.840 | $336 | 1d ago |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 100 | $0.988 | $98.8 | 1d ago |