Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 43 points from 51% when the market opened on 1 Jul 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 57% on 9 Jul 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?”.
$3.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $573.74, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 62 trades, $94.53 bought Yes and $1.19K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Bigsomething with 230 shares; the largest No position is Olcan with 987. Ten wallets hold 90.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olcan | No | 987.01 |
| Bigsomething | Yes | 230 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 180.3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-polymarkets-mindshare-go-by-december-31-20260630144203049
| TheNoobBeaver |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| CompulsiveGambler | Yes | 100 |
| jesterthegoose | Yes | 86.61 |
| Extra-Large-Fallacy | Yes | 66.67 |
| cashllio | Yes | 50 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 44 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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