Analytics
Yes is at 72.5%, about where the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 72.5% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 83%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 90% on 18 Oct 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?”.
$11.13 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.29, with a 43.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Olcann with 19 shares; the largest No position is palochka with 11.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 65%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olcann | Yes | 19 |
| palochka | No | 11.11 |
| Amber Summit 436F | No | 7.88 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-polymarkets-mindshare-go-by-december-31-20260630144203049
| Numitus1994 |
| No |
| 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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