Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $4.43 | -$0.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Runner" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.450 | $0.6 | 19h ago |
 |
| No |
| 6.72 |
| $0.565 |
| $4.4 |
| +$0.6 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | Yes | 6 | $0.530 | $4.35 | +$1.17 |
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.700 | $4.13 | +$0.63 |
 Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | 4.92 | $0.610 | $4.11 | +$1.11 |
 Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.700 | $3.85 | +$0.35 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.150 | $3.33 | -$0.67 |
 Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in September 2026? | No | 3.33 | $0.700 | $3.29 | +$0.95 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 12 | $0.250 | $3.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.720 | $2.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31? | No | 4.33 | $0.693 | $2.9 | -$0.1 |
 Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.375 | $2.75 | -$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $2.53 | +$0.03 |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 5 | $0.280 | $2.5 | +$1.1 |
 Linera listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 5 | $0.410 | $2.4 | +$0.35 |
| Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 14 | $0.250 | $2.38 | -$1.12 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | Yes | 2.77 | $0.722 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.530 | $2.2 | -$0.45 |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Trump say "Ass" in September? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.450 | $1.95 | -$0.3 |
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.600 | $1.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? | Yes | 2.82 | $0.710 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.150 | $1.62 | +$0.27 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.650 | $1.55 | -$1.7 |
| sell |
| 9 |
| $0.057 |
| $0.51 |
| 2d ago |
| Will "Runner" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will "Resident Evil" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 6.15 | $0.960 | $5.9 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 6d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
| Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 7d ago |
| Will Trump say "American Dream" in September?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.900 | $1.08 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Lula participates in debate before first round?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 7d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 7d ago |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | 7d ago |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.860 | $3.18 | 7d ago |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 7d ago |
 Will "The Uprising" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Critical Discord Incident by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | 8d ago |
 Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 9d ago |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.77 | $0.722 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will Trump say "American Dream" in September?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will Trump say "Ass" in September?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.920 | $2.7 | 10d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.275 | $1.37 | 11d ago |
| Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | 11d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.150 | $0.88 | 11d ago |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.82 | $0.999 | $1.82 | 11d ago |
 Will LeBron's YouTube channel reach 1 million subscribers by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.985 | $2.49 | 11d ago |
 Will FK Fakel Voronezh win on 2026-08-29?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.310 | $0.94 | 11d ago |
 Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.550 | $3.23 | 11d ago |
| Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 50k and 70k?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.310 | $0.64 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.930 | $2.82 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in September 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 13d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 14d ago |