Analytics
Yes is at 54.5%, up 18 points from 36.5% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 44% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by...?”.
$499.67 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $65.04, with a 65.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is JabamiYumekosRBQ with 120 shares; the largest No position is trashtier with 79.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JabamiYumekosRBQ | Yes | 119.99 |
| trashtier | No | 79.23 |
| palochka | Yes | 39.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases Dota 2 gameplay patch 7.42 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "patch 7.42" refers to a gameplay update officially titled "7.42" by Valve. If Valve gives the next numbered gameplay update after the 7.41 series a different number (e.g., "7.50" or "8.00"), that update will also qualify. Lettered updates to the 7.41 series (e.g., "7.41g"), hotfixes, cosmetic or event updates, and updates without a new patch number will not qualify. The patch will be considered released when it is live in the public Dota 2 client and available to all players. An announcement, teaser, patch-notes preview, or content available only in a test, beta, or experimental client will not qualify on its own. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, including the Dota 2 patch notes page (https://www.dota2.com/patches); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dota-2-patch-7pt42-released-by
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 37.79 |
| title1 | No | 20 |
| HOSOBEAR | No | 15 |
| natriumz | Yes | 11.9 |
| Carabao | No | 11.9 |
| Slackjaw | No | 5.78 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | No | 2.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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