What are the odds in Polymarket's esports markets?

On Polymarket, as of 5 Nov 2026, 11:10 UTC: Gen.G 50.5% to win Worlds 2026, with T1 at 19.5%.

Does the Polymarket favourite usually win Worlds?

The day-before favourite lost the one championship scored here; the eventual result traded at 63.5% on average that day. Most recently, LoL Worlds 2025 Winner: the day before, Gen.G led at 66.5% and lost to T1, priced at 63.5%. The scored record on this page lists every cycle with its sources.

How do Polymarket esports markets resolve?

On the official result published by the tournament organiser, as each market's rules state. A forfeit or a walkover normally resolves to the advancing side; a cancelled series resolves as the rules specify.

What does BO3 or BO5 mean in a market title?

Best-of-three or best-of-five: the number of maps or games in the series. A match-winner market resolves on the series, while a map-winner market resolves on a single map, so the two prices differ.

Why are esports prices often at 0 or 1?

Many of these markets stay open while the series is being played, so the price tracks the live scoreline and converges as the result becomes clear. The close date beside each row shows when the market settles.

Which titles does this room cover?

Everything Polymarket tags as esports: Counter-Strike 2, Dota 2 and League of Legends make up most of the volume, with Valorant, Rainbow Six and other titles appearing as their calendars run.

Esports prediction markets

2,184 markets

Polymarket read 5 Nov 2026, 11:10 UTC

When is Worlds 2026, and who is favoured?

When

The League of Legends World Championship runs from Thursday 15 October to Saturday 14 November 2026 in the United States: Los Angeles, Allen in Texas, and the final in New York. Source: Wikipedia, 2026 League of Legends World Championship

Favoured on Polymarket

Gen.G 50.5% to win Worlds 2026, with T1 at 19.5%

Prices as of 5 Nov 2026, 11:10 UTC.

Esports, the market's forecast

Worlds 2026: Winner

Gen.G50.5%

Gen.G51%

T120%

Bilibili Gaming14%

Gen.G51%
T120%
Bilibili Gaming14%
Dplus KIA8.8%
Invictus Gaming8.5%

Worlds final

9 days

14 Nov 2026

Traded, 24h

$631K

in this market

Traded, all time

$11M

$1.6M resting now

All related markets, 24h

$2.4M

2,184 markets across 270 events

Comments

on Polymarket

Try it on paper

Gen.GYes51¢No50¢
T1Yes20¢No81¢
Bilibili GamingYes14¢No86¢
Dplus KIAYes8.8¢No91¢
Invictus GamingYes8.5¢No92¢
Karmine CorpYes0.85¢No99.15¢

Vi IQ: what actually moved

Each outcome is measured against its own normal daily swing over 30 days

Gen.G: Up 7.0 points in a week, 5.3× a normal week for this contract. 2 other outcomes moved by more than noise.

Gen.G51%91Meaningful
Steady climb24h +2.07d +7.0normal day ±0.5
Up 7.0 points in a week, 5.3× a normal week for this contract.
T120%49Notable
Steady climb24h +0.07d +3.0normal day ±0.4
Up 3.0 points in a week, 2.8× a normal week for this contract.
Dplus KIA8.8%47Notable
Steady slide24h −0.57d −3.5normal day ±0.7
Down 3.5 points in a week, 1.9× a normal week for this contract.
Invictus Gaming8.5%44Noise
Quiet24h −1.07d −0.1normal day ±0.5
Little change: −1.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.5.

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The race, last 30 days

Worlds 2026: Winner

Worlds 2026: Winner: price 30 days ago and now
Outcome	30 days ago	Now
Gen.G	33%	51%
T1	15%	20%
Bilibili Gaming	19%	14%
Dplus KIA	5.3%	8.8%
Invictus Gaming	2.5%	8.5%

Where the money went today

$2.4M across 270 events

Worlds 2026: Winner$631KGen.G 51%Dota 2: CyberHero vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs$513K LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs$299KBilibili Gaming 60%Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs$170KFURIA 65%Worlds 2026 Winning Region$165KLCK 77%Counter-Strike: GenOne vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage$151KGenOne 65%LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs$115KT1 83%$49.8K $46.6K $32.5K $20.7K

FallingRising

What an order really pays

Order book depth and the average price a $1,000 and a $10,000 buy order would pay
Outcome	Bid / ask	Within 2¢	$1K pays	$10K pays
Gen.G	50¢/51¢	$441K, $76.0K	51¢+0.0	51¢+0.0
T1	19¢/20¢	$268K, $22.5K	20¢+0.0	20¢+0.3
Bilibili Gaming	14¢/14¢	$1.8K, $11.3K	15¢+0.2	15¢+0.8
Dplus KIA	8.7¢/8.9¢	$635, $3.3K	9.0¢+0.1	13¢+4.2
Invictus Gaming	8.4¢/8.6¢	$552, $5.1K	9.1¢+0.5	11¢+2.5

Most argued about

Worlds 2026: Winner41 comments$631K 24h
Worlds 2026 Winning Region30 comments$165K 24h

The largest positions

0xa5ef…2966No, T1$407K
0xa5ef…2966No, Gen.G$250K
jakepaulthegoat2008Yes, Gen.G$165K
LinkE5No, T1$36.2K
vtcchampion52Yes, Gen.G$35.2K
Esp77No, T1$29.9K
hansama231No, Gen.G$24.0K
niceqqqqq3No, Gen.G$19.8K
TAIWANNUMBERONENo, Gen.G$18.6K
Dual-CriticismYes, Gen.G$15.2K

Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare

Large trades

Bought Over at 76¢Games Total: O/U 3.5$7.8KZzzz87
Bought No at 49¢Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?$1.3KWitty-Skill
Bought Bilibili Gaming at 60¢LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs$3.0Kzywoo2026
Bought Bilibili Gaming at 60¢LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs$3.0Kzywoo2026
Sold No at 91¢Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?$1.8KCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c59
Bought Dplus KIA at 59¢Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)$2.6KMeiGuNiuBi
Bought Bilibili Gaming at 54¢LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.4KZzzz87
Bought Over at 76¢Games Total: O/U 3.5$2.0K1esportpro
Sold Bilibili Gaming at 59¢LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs$2.1K1esportpro
Bought Bilibili Gaming at 60¢LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs$2.1K1esportpro
Sold Over at 58¢Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?$1.6Kccxxoo22
Bought Under at 41¢Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?$2.7KGooooooollllllllll

Vultax Research: what copying a Polymarket trade 30 seconds late costs

Movement log

Last recorded read: 2026-11-05 11:03 UTC

Gen.G52%5 Nov, 10:48 UTC
Up 8.0 points in a week, 6.0× a normal week for this contract.
Invictus Gaming8.4%5 Nov, 09:33 UTC
Down 1.1 points in 24 hours, 2.4× its normal daily swing.
T120%5 Nov, 06:18 UTC
Up 3.0 points in a week, 2.8× a normal week for this contract.
Dplus KIA8.2%5 Nov, 04:48 UTC
Down 4.0 points in a week, 2.2× a normal week for this contract.
Invictus Gaming8.1%5 Nov, 00:05 UTC
Up 3.4 points in a week, 2.9× a normal week for this contract.
Invictus Gaming9.1%4 Nov, 23:18 UTC
Up 3.5 points in 24 hours, 8.7× its normal daily swing. Up 4.5 on the week.
Gen.G51%4 Nov, 22:33 UTC
Up 7.0 points in a week, 5.3× a normal week for this contract. 4 days running in the same direction. At its highest in 30 days.
T120%4 Nov, 18:18 UTC
Up 3.0 points in a week, 2.8× a normal week for this contract.
Dplus KIA8.1%4 Nov, 16:48 UTC
Down 4.6 points in a week, 2.3× a normal week for this contract.
Gen.G49%4 Nov, 16:03 UTC
Up 5.0 points in a week, 3.8× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Gen.G49%4 Nov, 15:03 UTC
Up 5.0 points in a week, 3.8× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Invictus Gaming9.9%4 Nov, 11:18 UTC
Up 4.8 points in 24 hours, 11× its normal daily swing. Up 5.3 on the week. At its highest in 30 days.
Dplus KIA9.3%4 Nov, 07:18 UTC
Down 3.4 points in a week, 1.8× a normal week for this contract. 3 days running in the same direction.
T120%4 Nov, 06:18 UTC
Up 4.0 points in a week, 1.5× a normal week for this contract.
Dplus KIA9.6%4 Nov, 04:48 UTC
Up 1.1 points on the day, against a week that ran down 3.6: 1.6× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Gen.G49%4 Nov, 02:48 UTC
Up 5.0 points in a week, 3.8× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Top Esports1.6%3 Nov, 23:03 UTC
Down 1.8 points in 24 hours, 4.5× its normal daily swing.
Invictus Gaming7.6%3 Nov, 23:03 UTC
Up 2.3 points in 24 hours, 5.0× its normal daily swing. Up 3.3 on the week.
Invictus Gaming6.5%3 Nov, 22:33 UTC
Up 1.1 points in 24 hours, 2.4× its normal daily swing. Up 2.2 on the week.
Top Esports2.5%3 Nov, 21:33 UTC
Down 0.9 points on the day, against a week that ran up 1.2: 2.1× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Top Esports3.0%3 Nov, 21:18 UTC
Up 1.7 points in a week, 1.6× a normal week for this contract.
Dplus KIA9.2%3 Nov, 19:16 UTC
Down 2.7 points in a week, 1.4× a normal week for this contract.
Invictus Gaming6.3%3 Nov, 19:16 UTC
Up 2.0 points in a week, 1.6× a normal week for this contract.
T120%3 Nov, 18:16 UTC
Up 4.0 points in a week, 1.5× a normal week for this contract.

Work this room

How the favourite fared at Worlds

Each row is one settled Polymarket market on the League of Legends World Championship: the outcome priced highest 30 days, 7 days and one day before the result was known, and the eventual winner's own price at the same moments. In a tournament or a season, the one-day reading falls before the deciding day.

The day-before favourite lost the one championship scored here; the eventual result traded at 63.5% on average that day.

Cycle30 days before7 days beforeDay beforeResult

Worlds 2025LoL Worlds 2025 Winner$19M traded

30 days beforenot listed yet

7 days beforeGen.G 66.5%lostT1 42%

Day beforeGen.G 66.5%lost

Tournament winners

8 markets, $817K traded in 24h

Worlds 2026: Winner

$631K 24h, $1.6M liquidity, closes 29 Nov 2026

Worlds 2026: Winner: priced outcomes, most likely first
Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
Gen.G	51%	—	—	$146K	$596K

Counter-Strike 2

46 markets, $461K traded in 24h

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs

$170K 24h, $281K liquidity, starts 6 Nov, 09:45 UTC

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs: priced outcomes, most likely first
Side	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
FURIA	65%	—	—	$158K

Dota 2

14 markets, $56.5K traded in 24h

Dota 2: angry birds vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A

$35.4K 24h, $64.0K liquidity, started 5 Nov, 10:00 UTC

Dota 2: angry birds vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A: priced outcomes, most likely first
Side	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
angry birds	87%	—	—	$8.0K

League of Legends

4 markets, $464K traded in 24h

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

$299K 24h, $3.1M liquidity, starts 5 Nov, 22:00 UTC

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs: priced outcomes, most likely first
Side	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
Bilibili Gaming	60%	—	—	$187K

Other titles

10 markets, $915 traded in 24h

Overwatch: OU Gaming vs HUNENG (BO5) - OCS China Stage 3 Regional Playoffs

$337 24h, $1.1K liquidity, starts 7 Nov, 09:00 UTC

Overwatch: OU Gaming vs HUNENG (BO5) - OCS China Stage 3 Regional Playoffs: priced outcomes, most likely first
Side	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
OU Gaming	79%	—	—	$337

What moved

Over 24 hours

NAVI JuniorCounter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs STATE (BO3) - United21 Group C3%−44$14.0K
Natus VincereIEM Beijing 2026: Winner24%+16$7.4K
GenOneCounter-Strike: GenOne vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage

How Esports markets resolved

Esports: recently resolved markets
Market	Resolved as	Total volume	Settled
Valorant: Saigon Phantom vs Học Viện 96 (BO1) - Asia Pacific Predator League Vietnam Playoffs	Saigon Phantom	$1.3K	awaiting settlement
Valorant: God Chosen vs Ferix (BO1) - Asia Pacific Predator League Vietnam Playoffs	Ferix	$686	awaiting settlement
Dota 2: Team Allied vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B	Team Allied	$314K	5 Nov 2026

Moves and what was reported or dated near them

Each recorded move in the Esports room beside the room's own sourced events near it: reports by when they were published, calendar and record entries by the date they name. Close in time is not a cause: Vultax has not confirmed why any of these prices moved.

Gen.GRead recorded 5 Nov, 10:48 UTC
Up 8.0 points in a week, 6.0× a normal week for this contract.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Invictus GamingRead recorded 5 Nov, 09:33 UTC
Down 1.1 points in 24 hours, 2.4× its normal daily swing.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
T1Read recorded 5 Nov, 06:18 UTC
Up 3.0 points in a week, 2.8× a normal week for this contract.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.

About the Esports prediction markets

This room reads every open Polymarket market tagged to esports and sorts it into tournament winners and the match boards for Counter-Strike 2, Dota 2, League of Legends and the smaller titles. Each price carries its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.

A price is the cost of a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. In a market with many named outcomes the prices should add up to roughly 100%; a gap is the venue's spread and fees, not a free lunch.

Esports series trade in short, intense windows: a best-of-three can turn over more in an hour than a season-long market does in a week, and the book empties again once the series ends. That makes the volume column more informative here than almost anywhere else on the venue — a large move on a market with little 24-hour volume is a quote, not a verdict.

Each market resolves on its own written rules, including the deadline, the resolution source and what counts as the event. Two markets on the same subject with different wording can and do trade at different prices, so read the rules on the market page before comparing them.

What moves these markets

Roster changes and stand-ins announced before a series
Map pools and the veto, which favour some line-ups over others
Group-stage standings and what a team still needs to qualify
Patch notes and balance changes between tournaments
Schedule density, which decides how much money is in the book at any hour

Dates to watch

Questions