Édouard Philippe: Down 2.0 points in 24 hours, 5.0× its normal daily swing. Down 3.0 on the week. At its lowest in 30 days. 1 other outcome moved by more than noise.
Down 2.0 points in 24 hours, 5.0× its normal daily swing. Down 3.0 on the week. At its lowest in 30 days.
Up 2.7 points in a week, 2.5× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Up 1.3 points in a week, 1.2× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Little change: −0.1 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4.
Trade 2027 on paper, free
A free account gives you a practice balance at live Polymarket prices, a portfolio that marks itself, and Vi on every market. No card.
Each line is the price of one outcome on Polymarket, read as a probability. Hover or tap to read every line on the same day.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 34% | 38% |
| Édouard Philippe | 25% | 22% |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14% | 13% |
| David Lisnard | 2.8% | 8.3% |
| François Hollande | 3.3% | 4.9% |
Every box is one Polymarket event in this room. The bigger the box, the more was traded in the last 24 hours.
The order book behind “Next French Presidential Election”, read a minute ago.
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 38¢/38¢ | $150K · $20.3K | 38¢+0.0 | |
| Édouard Philippe | 21¢/22¢ | $62.9K · $18.2K | 22¢+0.0 | |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12¢/13¢ | $37.1K · $14.9K | 13¢+0.0 | |
| David Lisnard | 8.1¢/8.4¢ | $8.7K · $5.4K | 8.5¢+0.1 | |
| François Hollande | 4.8¢/4.9¢ | $877 · $322 | 7.8¢+2.9 |
Average price a buy order of that size would pay against the offers resting now, and how many points that is above the best offer. “Within 2¢” is the dollars resting near the touch on the bid and the offer side.
Polymarket publishes no view counts. Comments are the nearest thing to a crowd, and they do not always follow the money.
Biggest holders in this market's two leading outcomes, valued at the current price. Open a name for the wallet's record on Vultax.
7 more positions in this market
Who holds the most on each side, valued at the current price, with each wallet's record one click away.
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Prints of $1,000 and more in the room's busiest markets, newest first.
9 more large trades in this room
Each print of $1,000 and more as it happens: who, which side, what price.
Every move in this room that cleared Vi IQ's "notable" line, stamped when it happened. Vultax has recorded this room since 25 Sep 2026.
7 earlier moves on record
The dated record of every meaningful move in this room: what moved, by how much against its own normal, and whether money came with it.
The biggest open Polymarket questions due in 2027 have traded $489M over their lives. On Polymarket, “Next French Presidential Election” has Marine Le Pen in front at 38%, on $389K traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 1,807 open markets across 100 Polymarket events, which together traded $2.9M over the same 24 hours and hold $88M of resting liquidity. Prices as of 27 Sep 2026, 09:53 UTC.
Votes due in 2027 and the leaders markets expect to go
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 38% | — | +1.3 | $5.8K | $495K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes38¢No62¢ |
| Édouard Philippe |
Ceasefires, invasions and the questions that run through the year
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 28% | −3.5 | −3.0 | $1.0K | $11.4K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes28¢No72¢ |
Listings, valuations, crypto and the economy
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.0–$2.25T | 25% | +0.9 | +0.5 | $9.6K | $25.6K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes25¢No75¢ |
Season champions crowned in 2027
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 13% | — | — | $23.1K | $285K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
Films, space, the weather and the rest of the year's open questions
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 41% | −1.0 | −1.5 | $2.8K | $22.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes41¢No60¢ |
Polymarket's hottest-year markets resolve on NASA's Land-Ocean Temperature Index. These are NASA's monthly figures for 2026, in °C above the 1951–1980 average. On Polymarket, “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?” prices first place at 68.5% and second at 29%.
Source: NASA GISTEMP v4 · monthly Land-Ocean Temperature Index · read 26 Sep 2026
Each row is the year's hottest-year market on Polymarket: the side priced higher 30 days, 7 days and one day before NASA published the annual figure, against what NASA's figure decided.
The day-before favourite won all three years scored here; the eventual result traded at 96.5% on average that day.
Largest price changes in points, counted only on markets that traded at least $1,000 in the same 24 hours. The number beside each move is that market’s 24-hour volume.
Change in probability points since the same time the previous day
This room reads every open Polymarket event whose deadline falls in 2027 and sorts it into elections, geopolitics, markets and sport. It is the venue's own answer to "2027 predictions": what traders expect to happen, what they have put on it, and how busy each question is.
A price is the cost of a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. In a market with many named outcomes the prices should add up to roughly 100%; a gap is the venue's spread and fees, not a free lunch.
Which year a question belongs to is read from its deadline, not its wording. A question that closes on 31 December 2026 belongs to 2026, even when the venue pads its end date a few days into January, so the first week of the year is left out; a 2027 season or election that ends inside the year is in. The count and the money at the top of the page are totals over the open events read, the largest first.
Each market resolves on its own written rules, including the deadline, the resolution source and what counts as the event. Two markets on the same subject with different wording can and do trade at different prices, so read the rules on the market page before comparing them.
| 22% |
| −2.0 |
| −3.0 |
| $13.1K |
| $343K |
| 1 Jan 2028 |
| Yes22¢No79¢ |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13% | — | — | $4.1K | $307K | 30 Apr 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| David Lisnard | 8.3% | +1.0 | +3.2 | $38.3K | $235K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes8.3¢No92¢ |
| François Hollande | 4.9% | 0 | −0.6 | $1.1K | $145K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes4.9¢No95¢ |
37 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 23% | — | −3.0 | $3.0K | $93.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes23¢No78¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 12% | −1.0 | −1.5 | $3.9K | $116K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Andersson | 86% | −1.0 | −1.0 | $24.4K | $119K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes86¢No15¢ |
| Ulf Kristersson | 11% | −0.6 | −1.5 | $11.4K | $124K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist | 1.5% | 0 | +1.1 | $510 | $71.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes1.5¢No99¢ |
| Ebba Busch | 1.4% | 0 | 0 | $2.7K | $91.0K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes1.4¢No99¢ |
| Jimmie Åkesson | <1% | 0 | 0 | $1.2K | $61.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
5 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sorin Grindeanu | 32% | −0.7 | +4.0 | $286 | $65.5K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes32¢No68¢ |
| Alexandru Nazare | 28% | 0 | +6.0 | $2.5K | $41.3K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes28¢No72¢ |
| Siegfried Mureșan | 12% | +5.3 | −12 | $3.9K | $40.0K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Alexandru Rogobete | 3.5% | 0 | +1.9 | $0 | $15.0K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes3.5¢No96¢ |
| Eugen Tomac | 3.3% | −1.8 | +1.9 | $0 | $29.6K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes3.3¢No97¢ |
25 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 90% | −0.5 | +0.5 | $12 | $31.3K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes90¢No10¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 46% | −0.5 | −2.5 | $0 | $5.9K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes46¢No54¢ |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 43% | +2.5 | +4.0 | $224 | $24.7K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes43¢No57¢ |
| David Lisnard | 8.3% | +1.2 | −2.9 | $9.5K | $120K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes8.3¢No92¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 6.7% | 0 | 0 | $0 | $28.9K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes6.7¢No93¢ |
31 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 96% | +1.3 | 0 | $1.3K | $14.5K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes96¢No4.2¢ |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 92% | +4.5 | +4.5 | $380 | $11.5K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes92¢No8.5¢ |
| Marine Le Pen | 92% | — | +1.5 | $0 | $17.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes92¢No8.5¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 86% | +1.0 | — | $0 | $11.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes86¢No14¢ |
| Fabien Roussel | 83% | −0.5 | −0.5 | $0 | $10.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes83¢No17¢ |
41 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulrich Siegmund | 63% | +6.0 | +21 | $2.9K | $11.7K | 1 Jun 2027 | Yes63¢No38¢ |
| Sven Schulze | 2.5% | 0 | −1.2 | $0 | $18.1K | 1 Jun 2027 | Yes2.5¢No98¢ |
| Claudia Wittig | 1.1% | 0 | 0 | $0 | $14.1K | 1 Jun 2027 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| Armin Willingmann | <1% | −2.4 | −0.5 | $0 | $15.7K | 1 Jun 2027 | Yes0.7¢No99¢ |
| Lydia Hüskens | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $11.8K | 1 Jun 2027 | Yes0.5¢No99¢ |
3 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
13 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
| September 30 | 2.3% | −1.8 | −5.2 | $27.9K | $19.8K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes2.3¢No98¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 71% | −0.5 | — | $24 | $148K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes71¢No30¢ |
| November 30, 2027 | 70% | −0.5 | +8.5 | $0 | $77.0K | 1 Dec 2027 | Yes70¢No30¢ |
| October 31, 2027 | 66% | — | +5.5 | $2 | $73.4K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes66¢No34¢ |
| September 30, 2027 | 65% | −1.0 | +8.0 | $68 | $67.5K | 1 Oct 2027 | Yes65¢No36¢ |
| August 31, 2027 | 61% | −0.5 | +3.0 | $0 | $49.6K | 1 Sep 2027 | Yes61¢No40¢ |
7 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 7.0% | +0.5 | +1.1 | $717 | $61.3K | 1 Feb 2027 | Yes7.0¢No93¢ |
| November | 4.7% | 0 | +1.5 | $82 | $39.9K | 1 Feb 2027 | Yes4.7¢No95¢ |
| December | 3.7% | −2.1 | −3.8 | $278 | $48.8K | 1 Feb 2027 | Yes3.7¢No96¢ |
| August | <1% | — | — | $0 | $28.3K | 1 Feb 2027 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| September | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $31.2K | 1 Feb 2027 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf | 41% | +1.0 | +19 | $318 | $4.8K | 23 Jun 2027 | Yes41¢No60¢ |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 14% | −1.0 | +3.5 | $702 | $16.3K | 23 Jun 2027 | Yes14¢No86¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | 6.5% | — | — | $0 | $25.8K | 23 Jun 2027 | Yes6.5¢No94¢ |
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 2.4% | +0.5 | 0 | $573 | $16.8K | 23 Jun 2027 | Yes2.4¢No98¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CATL | 45% | +13 | +4.5 | $425 | $1.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes45¢No55¢ |
| Alibaba | 19% | −5.5 | −5.5 | $1.6K | $15.2K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes19¢No81¢ |
| Baidu | 18% | −7.0 | −17 | $2.0K | $15.5K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes18¢No82¢ |
| Hesai | 18% | — | — | $0 | $16.0K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes18¢No83¢ |
| Unitree | 18% | +0.5 | +0.5 | $0 | $15.2K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes18¢No83¢ |
5 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 12% | — | — | $4.4K | $209K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebeca Grynspan | 52% | +2.0 | +7.0 | $397 | $1.8K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes52¢No49¢ |
| Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett | 18% | −2.1 | +3.3 | $0 | $9.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes18¢No82¢ |
| María Fernanda Espinosa | 15% | +2.3 | +4.2 | $30 | $9.6K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes15¢No85¢ |
| Macky Sall | 8.2% | 0 | +5.4 | $0 | $10.3K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes8.2¢No92¢ |
| Rafael Grossi | 7.0% | 0 | +2.9 | $50 | $17.0K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes7.0¢No93¢ |
3 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prison time | 60% | +0.5 | −15 | $118 | $7.6K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes60¢No41¢ |
| 60+ | 23% | +2.0 | +11 | $119 | $2.9K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes23¢No77¢ |
| <20 | 8% | 0 | 0 | $52 | $12.5K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes8¢No92¢ |
| 20–40 | 1.7% | 0 | +0.8 | $55 | $13.5K | 31 Dec 2027 | Yes1.7¢No98¢ |
| 40–60 | 1.1% | 0 | 0 | $64 | $11.1K | 31 Dec 2027 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
4 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
| $2.25–$2.5T | 21% | — | +2.0 | $13.6K | $30.2K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes21¢No80¢ |
| $1.75–$2.0T | 21% | — | +5.0 | $94 | $34.4K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes21¢No80¢ |
| $2.5–$2.75T | 16% | +4.2 | +2.1 | $6.1K | $22.1K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| $1.5–$1.75T | 5.6% | 0 | −0.7 | $19 | $16.3K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes5.6¢No94¢ |
5 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 70% | — | −13 | $1.1K | $30.4K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes70¢No31¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 67% | +8.0 | +2.0 | $11.9K | $17.7K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes67¢No34¢ |
| September 30, 2027 | 41% | +0.5 | −0.5 | $106 | $4.3K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes41¢No59¢ |
| June 30, 2027 | 28% | — | — | $0 | $8.5K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes28¢No72¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Successful splash down? | 88% | +2.0 | +4.5 | $618 | $1.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes88¢No13¢ |
| Super Heavy booster explodes? | 85% | +2.0 | −5.0 | $2.2K | $12.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes85¢No16¢ |
| Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? | 1.8% | 0 | +0.7 | $0 | $950 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes1.8¢No98¢ |
| Chopsticks catch Starship? | 1.5% | −0.6 | −1.9 | $341 | $6.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes1.5¢No99¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$1T | 21% | +3.4 | +6.2 | $2.9K | $4.0K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes21¢No79¢ |
| $1.75T–$2.0T | 19% | — | −4.0 | $104 | $7.8K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes19¢No82¢ |
| $1.5T–$1.75T | 16% | −0.7 | +4.4 | $104 | $6.5K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| $2.5T+ | 15% | −1.1 | 0 | $106 | $9.3K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes15¢No85¢ |
| $1.25T–$1.5T | 14% | −2.9 | +3.6 | $205 | $8.3K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes14¢No86¢ |
3 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2027 | 9.8% | −1.5 | +1.2 | $30 | $3.5K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes9.8¢No90¢ |
| No IPO before 2028 | 4.0% | −0.5 | −1.3 | $12 | $4.4K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes4.0¢No96¢ |
| February 2027 | 3.0% | −1.1 | −1.6 | $0 | $1.1K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes3.0¢No97¢ |
| March 2027 | 1.6% | −1.2 | −3.5 | $0 | $1.5K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes1.6¢No98¢ |
| July 2027 | 1% | — | 0 | $0 | $1.6K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes1¢No99¢ |
8 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 65% | — | −2.0 | $0 | $9.3K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes65¢No36¢ |
| June 30, 2027 | 54% | +1.0 | −1.0 | $2.5K | $17.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes54¢No47¢ |
| February 28, 2027 | 35% | — | +2.0 | $0 | $5.8K | 1 Mar 2027 | Yes35¢No66¢ |
| January 31, 2027 | 23% | — | +1.0 | $0 | $7.9K | 1 Feb 2027 | Yes23¢No78¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 76% | — | −8.0 | $121 | $5.2K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes76¢No25¢ |
20 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
| Los Angeles Rams | 13% | — | +1.0 | $17.8K | $247K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8% | −0.5 | +1.5 | $40.1K | $258K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes8¢No92¢ |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7.6% | −1.8 | 0 | $18.4K | $133K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes7.6¢No92¢ |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7.0% | −0.6 | +0.5 | $23.2K | $147K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes7.0¢No93¢ |
27 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 24% | +1.0 | +2.5 | $100K | $914K | 30 May 2027 | Yes24¢No77¢ |
| Bayern Munich | 14% | — | — | $4.2K | $298K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes14¢No86¢ |
| Arsenal | 14% | — | — | $838 | $360K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes14¢No87¢ |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 13% | −1.0 | — | $45.2K | $435K | 30 May 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| Real Madrid | 12% | — | −1.0 | $477 | $321K | 30 May 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
31 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 60% | +1.0 | +13 | $10.8K | $146K | 30 May 2027 | Yes60¢No41¢ |
| Manchester City | 22% | −1.0 | −16 | $85.3K | $314K | 30 May 2027 | Yes22¢No79¢ |
| Liverpool | 6.7% | 0 | +2.3 | $5.1K | $189K | 30 May 2027 | Yes6.7¢No93¢ |
| Chelsea | 4.0% | 0 | +1.1 | $463 | $143K | 30 May 2027 | Yes4.0¢No96¢ |
| Brighton | 2.3% | −0.5 | 0 | $622 | $301K | 30 May 2027 | Yes2.3¢No98¢ |
15 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 80% | — | +11 | $444 | $443K | 15 Jun 2027 | Yes80¢No20¢ |
| Real Madrid | 17% | −1.0 | −11 | $5.9K | $331K | 15 Jun 2027 | Yes17¢No84¢ |
| Atlético Madrid | 2% | 0 | +0.7 | $2.5K | $174K | 15 Jun 2027 | Yes2¢No98¢ |
| Betis | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $219K | 15 Jun 2027 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Villarreal | <1% | — | — | $39.5K | $293K | 15 Jun 2027 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
16 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 21% | — | — | $123 | $268K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes21¢No80¢ |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 20% | −1.0 | −2.0 | $2.0K | $300K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes20¢No81¢ |
| New York Knicks | 12% | — | — | $8 | $188K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 11% | — | 0 | $60 | $182K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 5.2% | — | 0 | $273 | $168K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes5.2¢No95¢ |
25 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 84% | — | −2.0 | $11 | $354K | 15 Jun 2027 | Yes84¢No17¢ |
| Borussia Dortmund | 7.5% | — | −0.5 | $0 | $68.0K | — | Yes7.5¢No93¢ |
| Hamburger SV | 2.5% | 0 | +2.3 | $8.4K | $55.5K | — | Yes2.5¢No98¢ |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | <1% | 0 | +0.6 | $0 | $62.8K | — | Yes0.9¢No99¢ |
| RB Leipzig | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $57.0K | 15 Jun 2027 | Yes0.9¢No99¢ |
13 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 96% | 0 | +0.6 | $3.7K | $29.6K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes96¢No3.5¢ |
| Ferrari | 1.6% | 0 | +1.0 | $131 | $66.3K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes1.6¢No98¢ |
| McLaren | <1% | 0 | 0 | $1.4K | $89.4K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Red Bull Racing | <1% | — | — | $0 | $126K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 14% | — | — | $0 | $211K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes14¢No86¢ |
| Milan | 13% | — | — | $0 | $169K | 30 May 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 12% | — | — | $0 | $86.3K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| Benfica | 11% | −0.5 | — | $1.0K | $90.5K | 30 May 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Bournemouth | 10% | 0 | 0 | $0 | $83.8K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes10¢No90¢ |
31 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
10 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine | 94% | — | −0.5 | $2 | $1.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes94¢No6.0¢ |
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool | 93% | — | — | $0 | $922 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes93¢No7.5¢ |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man | 91% | −0.9 | −1.7 | $79 | $554 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes91¢No8.7¢ |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange | 89% | −5.5 | −5.0 | $119 | $330 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes89¢No11¢ |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau | 76% | — | −4.0 | $0 | $852 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes76¢No25¢ |
15 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Malkovich | 36% | 0 | −0.5 | $237 | $10.4K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes36¢No64¢ |
| Matt Damon | 22% | −0.5 | −3.0 | $24 | $16.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes22¢No79¢ |
| Andrew Scott | 19% | — | +2.5 | $18 | $11.6K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes19¢No82¢ |
| Tom Cruise | 10% | −0.5 | +4.0 | $0 | $13.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes10¢No90¢ |
| Robert Pattinson | 5.4% | — | 0 | $839 | $3.0K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes5.4¢No95¢ |
13 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 50% | +0.5 | −2.0 | $22 | $15.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes50¢No51¢ |
| La Bola Negra | 24% | — | +3.5 | $31 | $3.2K | 14 Mar 2027 | Yes24¢No76¢ |
| Dune: Part Three | 11% | — | — | $10 | $12.5K | 14 Mar 2027 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| Wild Horse Nine | 3.5% | — | −0.9 | $0 | $14.4K | 14 Mar 2027 | Yes3.5¢No96¢ |
| The Debut | 1.9% | — | −2.2 | $0 | $2.8K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes1.9¢No98¢ |
17 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Healey | 14% | — | — | $0 | $29.7K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes14¢No87¢ |
| Miatta Fahnbulleh | 10% | — | 0 | $0 | $19.9K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes10¢No90¢ |
| Yvette Cooper | 5.9% | 0 | +3.0 | $69 | $15.0K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes5.9¢No94¢ |
| Ed Miliband | 5.7% | −0.5 | +4.0 | $0 | $10.6K | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes5.7¢No94¢ |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 5.4% | 0 | +3.3 | $0 | $908 | 1 Jan 2028 | Yes5.4¢No95¢ |
17 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 82% | — | — | $106 | $17.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes82¢No19¢ |
| Dune: Messiah | 13% | 0 | 0 | $5 | $6.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes13¢No87¢ |
| Project Hail Mary | 3.9% | 0 | +2.3 | $0 | $2.8K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes3.9¢No96¢ |
| Wild Horse Nine | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $3.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes0.5¢No99¢ |
| The Social Reckoning | <1% | — | — | $0 | $5.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes0.2¢No100¢ |
3 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | 2.1% | — | −0.5 | $49 | $10.6K | 1 Mar 2027 | Yes2.1¢No98¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianne Moore | 67% | — | −3.5 | $0 | $5.8K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes67¢No34¢ |
| Inde Navarrette | 14% | −0.5 | +1.5 | $30 | $4.5K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes14¢No86¢ |
| Sandra Hüller | 5.9% | 0 | −1.4 | $0 | $3.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes5.9¢No94¢ |
| Renate Reinsve | 2.8% | 0 | −5.7 | $0 | $4.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes2.8¢No97¢ |
| Virginie Efira | 1.6% | — | 0 | $0 | $2.5K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes1.6¢No98¢ |
6 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
4 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.
Change in probability points since the same time the previous week
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
