Analytics
Yes is at 42.9%, up 27 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 14 Nov 2025.
Across the 323 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.3% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5% on 2 Jan 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 46.5%; a month before, 38.4%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 28.7% on 8 Jul 2026.
Marine Le Pen is the favourite of the 45 outcomes in “Next French Presidential Election”, ahead of Édouard Philippe at 17.5%.
$57.23K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.61M since listing. The order book holds $649.01K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $26.87K bought Yes and $14.56K bought No; the largest was a $7.12K buy of No at 56.6¢.
The largest Yes position is BurstedBubble with 639.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.34M. Ten wallets hold 72.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 323 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 15.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 42.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.34M |
| BurstedBubble | Yes | 639.51K |
| LlamaLoco0000 | No | 458.73K |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election
33 more outcomes, none above 0.4%.
| lastminwin | Yes | 79.97K |
| StudentMoney | Yes | 63.17K |
| Earnest-Noon-Panel | Yes | 54.65K |
| flovertaco | Yes | 48.84K |
| Hyperlong | Yes | 27.76K |
| BTCmaxi | Yes | 25.06K |
| 4zzzz | Yes | 24.73K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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