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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 20.61K | $0.946 | $20.03K | +$523.45 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 3.08K | $0.970 | $2.99K | 2h ago |
|
| No |
| 19.35K |
| $0.957 |
| $18.76K |
| +$236.96 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 28.23K | $0.248 | $10.06K | +$3.05K |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 28.23K | $0.251 | $8.61K | +$1.52K |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 6.1K | $0.961 | $5.85K | -$16.53 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 5.36K | $0.552 | $4.26K | +$1.3K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.07K | $0.928 | $2.05K | +$132.18 |
 Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 1.77K | $0.938 | $1.69K | +$34.89 |
 Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 1.59K | $0.915 | $1.56K | +$98.99 |
 Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | No | 1.39K | $0.941 | $1.32K | +$18.35 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.19K | $0.877 | $1.3K | -$618.55 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | No | 2.9K | $0.158 | $1.2K | +$745.23 |
 Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 1.16K | $0.958 | $1.12K | +$5.37 |
 Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 1.12K | $0.957 | $1.09K | +$19.38 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 28.23K | $0.026 | $832.86 | +$83.34 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? | No | 832.83 | $0.910 | $827 | +$69.13 |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 840.72 | $0.936 | $798.26 | +$11.54 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 5.36K | $0.293 | $776.87 | -$790.96 |
 Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 788.19 | $0.931 | $769.27 | +$35.27 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 28.23K | $0.029 | $719.93 | -$97.1 |
 Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 707.6 | $0.959 | $701.94 | +$23.48 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 28.23K | $0.066 | $606.98 | -$1.27K |
 Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 605.92 | $0.964 | $601.38 | +$17.44 |
 Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 571.21 | $0.926 | $560.93 | +$31.95 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 28.23K | $0.019 | $550.53 | +$0.51 |
| sell |
| 3.08K |
| $0.971 |
| $2.99K |
| 2h ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 380 | $0.929 | $353.17 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.900 | $342 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 380 | $0.160 | $60.8 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.988 | $14.82 | 16h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.988 | $39.51 | 16h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.986 | $59.14 | 16h ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 114.83 | $0.010 | $1.2 | 16h ago |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.961 | $1K | 1d ago |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.962 | $1.02K | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.045 | $4.14 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 93.65 | $0.200 | $18.69 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.640 | $59.52 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 93 | $0.100 | $9.3 | 1d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.973 | $1.37K | 1d ago |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.41K | $0.974 | $1.38K | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 770 | $0.830 | $639.1 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 770 | $0.900 | $693 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.620 | $58.9 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.900 | $85.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 95.37 | $0.678 | $64.66 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 571 | $0.380 | $216.98 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 571 | $0.906 | $517.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 571.38 | $0.663 | $379 | 2d ago |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.962 | $7.4 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 137 | $0.910 | $124.67 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 137 | $0.620 | $84.94 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 137.46 | $0.656 | $90.17 | 3d ago |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 910.05 | $0.962 | $875.47 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 100 | $0.365 | $36.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 757 | $0.992 | $750.94 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 757 | $0.646 | $489.05 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 756.99 | $0.391 | $295.73 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.992 | $198.4 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.650 | $130 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | 3d ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.420 | $40.32 | 4d ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.410 | $39.36 | 4d ago |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.014 | $1.34 | 4d ago |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.049 | $4.7 | 4d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 95.98 | $0.106 | $10.17 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.665 | $80.46 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 121 | $0.992 | $120.03 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 121 | $0.359 | $43.45 | 4d ago |
 Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 259.74 | $0.931 | $241.76 | 5d ago |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 508.57 | $0.981 | $498.91 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 750 | $0.129 | $96.55 | 5d ago |