Analytics
lastminwin is down $10.06K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-02 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 112.59K | $0.777 | $89.56K | +$2.08K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-02 08:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 19:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 19:58 UTC
polymarket positions
6 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-02 08:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $13.82 and losing ones cost $6K across 5 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.08 on “Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.49K on “Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?” (Yes).
It has traded 81 markets. Its open positions are worth $980.11K across 77 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 102.45K |
| $0.772 |
| $86.57K |
| +$7.5K |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 78.37K | $0.877 | $69.36K | +$651.45 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 90.55K | $0.846 | $67.69K | -$8.91K |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 82.91K | $0.684 | $59.28K | +$2.57K |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 55.95K | $0.928 | $52.28K | +$383.85 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 74.31K | $0.611 | $49.79K | +$4.38K |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 52.99K | $0.908 | $47.35K | -$749.92 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 55K | $0.879 | $47.27K | -$1.08K |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 66.27K | $0.632 | $42.08K | +$217.88 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 41.53K | $0.877 | $38.41K | +$1.98K |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 82.09K | $0.368 | $30.78K | +$581.12 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 47.51K | $0.693 | $30.17K | -$2.76K |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 29.98K | $0.870 | $26.22K | +$127.61 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 59.97K | $0.447 | $26.12K | -$688.91 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 28.61K | $0.820 | $23.46K | $0 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 20K | $0.997 | $19.99K | +$58.26 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 43.36K | $0.431 | $17.99K | -$682.24 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 66.82K | $0.295 | $17.04K | -$2.7K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 20.32K | $0.838 | $16.87K | -$159.44 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20K | $0.730 | $15.1K | +$500 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 67.79K | $0.163 | $13.56K | +$2.49K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 17.97K | $0.520 | $11.77K | +$2.43K |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 11.66K | $0.957 | $11.22K | +$67.51 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 70K | $0.131 | $10.15K | +$950.57 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
