Analytics
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?
techActive
Closes Jul 1, 2027 UTC
Yes
18.5%
No
81.5%
Yes costs 18.5¢No costs 81.5¢
24h Volume
$2.0K
Total volume
$171.9K
Liquidity
$115.7K
Closes
Jul 1, 2027 UTC
Where it stands
Yes is at 18.5%, down 2 points from 20.5% when the market opened on 23 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.5% on 7 Nov 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 29 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26.5%; a month before, 18.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 15.5% on 29 Sep 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “AI bubble burst by...?”.
Across the latest 500 trades, $7.13K bought Yes and $43.83K bought No; the largest was a $16.71K buy of No at 78.4¢.
Ten wallets hold 59.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 9:53 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 20.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 18.5% |
Same event
AI bubble burst by...?
- 1June 30, 2027This market$171.88K traded18.5%
- 2December 31, 2026$3.13M traded8.6%
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x9da81dc | No | 27.81K |
| balabalababalabala | Yes | 7.19K |
| deltasniper | No | 4.78K |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Sources named in the rules: silicondata.com/products/silicon-index. Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ai-bubble-burst-by