Analytics
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
politicsAwaiting resolution
Ended Sep 14, 2026 UTC
Yes
63.5%
No
36.5%
Observed Yes 63.5¢Observed No 36.5¢
Lifetime volume
$2.6M
Ended
Sep 14, 2026 UTC
Topic roomWorld elections
Where it stands
Trading ended on 14 Sep 2026 with Yes at 63.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 275 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65.6% on 10 Nov 2026 and the lowest 4% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 46%; a month before, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 10.5% on 14 Sep 2026.
Ulf Kristersson is the favourite of the 10 outcomes in “Next Prime Minister of Sweden”, ahead of Magdalena Andersson at 35.5%.
Ten wallets hold 60.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 9:55 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 275 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 12.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 63.4% |
All outcomes
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- 1Ulf KristerssonThis market$2.61M traded63.5%
- 2Magdalena Andersson$3.49M traded35.5%
- 3Ebba Busch
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 458.85K |
| Faraway-Ellipse | Yes | 84.76K |
| justtryingtosurvive | Yes | 40.04K |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading ended on 14 Sep 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Dates
Topic room