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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.98K | $0.940 | $2.81K | +$14.89 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.570 | $722.52 | 10d ago |
|
| No |
| 2.85K |
| $0.910 |
| $2.62K |
| +$28.53 |
 Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 2.11K | $0.950 | $1.97K | -$31.58 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.15K | $0.860 | $1.96K | +$117.75 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.59K | $0.828 | $1.36K | +$39.06 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.570 | $1.02K | +$297.88 |
| buy |
| 2.85K |
| $0.910 |
| $2.6K |
| 10d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.950 | $2K | 10d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.98K | $0.940 | $2.8K | 10d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.828 | $1.32K | 20d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.980 | $1.32K | 20d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.15K | $0.860 | $1.84K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.891 | $1.2K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.950 | $2K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 731.33 | $0.964 | $705 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 851.06 | $0.940 | $800 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.960 | $2.5K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 1.67K | $0.982 | $1.64K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 815.4 | $0.961 | $784 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 795.54 | $0.984 | $783.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 795.54 | $0.983 | $782 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.900 | $1.5K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.916 | $1.01K | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.974 | $1.01K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.979 | $1.02K | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.34K | $0.761 | $1.02K | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.28K | $0.922 | $2.1K | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.966 | $1.5K | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.044 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | sell | 1.67K | $0.957 | $1.6K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.969 | $1.62K | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.969 | $1.57K | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 1.58K | $0.993 | $1.57K | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.34K | $0.666 | $890 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 892.13 | $0.998 | $890.35 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 892.13 | $0.890 | $794 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.76K | $0.118 | $794.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.977 | $1.55K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.55K | $0.999 | $1.55K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.76K | $0.200 | $1.35K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.87K | $0.723 | $1.35K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.939 | $1.45K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.950 | $1.26K | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.688 | $1K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.34K | $0.966 | $2.26K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.860 | $1.6K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.91K | $0.839 | $1.6K | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.951 | $2K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No | sell | 2.16K | $0.925 | $2K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.34K | $0.945 | $2.21K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 2.16K | $0.878 | $1.9K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 2.21K | $0.917 | $2.02K | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.07K | $0.975 | $2.02K | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.959 | $1.83K | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.785 | $1.5K | May 27, 2026 |