Analytics
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
techActive
Closes Jan 1, 2028 UTC
Yes
91.0%
No
9.0%
Yes costs 91¢No costs 9¢
24h Volume
$7.1K
Total volume
$123.4K
Liquidity
$28.6K
Closes
Jan 1, 2028 UTC
Where it stands
Yes is at 91%, up 35 points from 56.5% when the market opened on 15 Aug 2026.
Across the 89 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91% on 14 Nov 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 22 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 68.5%; a month before, 62%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 36.5% on 22 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?”.
Across the latest 500 trades, $26.11K bought Yes and $9.29K bought No; the largest was a $4K buy of Yes at 79.3¢.
Ten wallets hold 57.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 9:55 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 56.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 91.0% |
Same event
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
- 1December 31, 2027This market$123.41K traded91.0%
- 2June 30, 2027$100.22K traded75.5%
- 3February 28, 2027
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DerDon | No | 6.48K |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 5.67K |
| ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | Yes | 5.04K |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30
Dates