Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | No | 201.23 | $0.846 | $176.78 | +$6.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will "The Uprising" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 193 | $0.514 | $99.26 | 18h ago |
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| Yes |
| 279.99 |
| $0.420 |
| $63 |
| -$54.6 |
Will "The Uprising" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 138 | $0.514 | $62.1 | -$8.87 |
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 638.39 | $0.060 | $41.5 | +$3.19 |
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? | Yes | 40 | $0.825 | $39.98 | +$6.98 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | Yes | 65 | $0.671 | $37.38 | -$6.22 |
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 222.16 | $0.099 | $34.43 | +$12.44 |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 80 | $0.360 | $34.4 | +$5.6 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.261 | $34.25 | -$96.44 |
Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 60 | $0.800 | $34.2 | -$13.8 |
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 65.29 | $0.570 | $32.65 | -$4.57 |
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 766 | $0.027 | $26.04 | +$5.29 |
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 123.3 | $0.192 | $21.58 | -$2.08 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 103.73 | $0.100 | $20.23 | +$9.85 |
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 51.35 | $0.340 | $18.49 | +$1.03 |
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.005 | $17.79 | +$12.72 |
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 392.79 | $0.007 | $13.94 | +$11.23 |
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 51.63 | $0.211 | $12.8 | +$1.91 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 187.06 | $0.052 | $11.32 | +$1.58 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 72 | $0.105 | $10.08 | +$2.52 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 343.77 | $0.037 | $8.94 | -$3.66 |
Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.49K | $0.005 | $8.91 | +$1.59 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 103.39 | $0.180 | $8.79 | -$9.82 |
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 38.9 | $0.030 | $8.71 | +$7.55 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 100.61 | $0.176 | $7.6 | -$10.15 |
| buy |
| 42.49 |
| $0.160 |
| $6.8 |
| 1d ago |
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.825 | $33 | 1d ago |
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 103.3 | $0.198 | $20.46 | 1d ago |
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 65.29 | $0.570 | $37.22 | 1d ago |
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 29.38 | $0.075 | $2.2 | 1d ago |
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 51.35 | $0.340 | $17.46 | 2d ago |
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 154.87 | $0.335 | $51.88 | 2d ago |
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 609.78 | $0.004 | $2.44 | 2d ago |
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 384.99 | $0.007 | $2.67 | 2d ago |
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | buy | 201.23 | $0.846 | $170.21 | 3d ago |
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 29.62 | $0.700 | $20.73 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 53.66 | $0.235 | $12.61 | 3d ago |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 102.58 | $0.640 | $65.65 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 144.17 | $0.752 | $108.37 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 230.7 | $0.797 | $183.9 | 4d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 103.73 | $0.227 | $23.51 | 4d ago |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 128.43 | $0.539 | $69.22 | 4d ago |
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 350.78 | $0.001 | $0.35 | 4d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.360 | $28.8 | 4d ago |
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 206.5 | $0.211 | $43.56 | 4d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 100.61 | $0.176 | $17.75 | 4d ago |
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 56.61 | $0.130 | $7.36 | 4d ago |
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.143 | $10 | 4d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 374.87 | $0.663 | $248.65 | 4d ago |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | buy | 102.58 | $0.370 | $37.95 | 5d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 277.04 | $0.998 | $276.49 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.156 | $3.12 | 6d ago |
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 29.62 | $0.430 | $12.74 | 6d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 103.22 | $0.490 | $50.58 | 6d ago |
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.028 | $16.6 | 7d ago |
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.025 | $4.15 | 7d ago |
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.060 | $62.34 | 7d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 277.04 | $0.979 | $271.22 | 7d ago |
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 59.24 | $0.222 | $13.13 | 7d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 700.7 | $0.999 | $700 | 7d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 727.34 | $0.060 | $43.64 | 7d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 700.7 | $0.975 | $683.14 | 7d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 55.87 | $0.029 | $1.61 | 7d ago |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 328 | $0.100 | $32.8 | 7d ago |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.49 | $0.834 | $15.42 | 7d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 221.98 | $0.961 | $213.23 | 7d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 267.9 | $0.977 | $261.74 | 7d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 249.99 | $0.100 | $25 | 7d ago |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 213.6 | $0.025 | $5.34 | 7d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 7.96 | $0.069 | $0.55 | 7d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 57.29 | $0.071 | $4.04 | 7d ago |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 640.81 | $0.025 | $16.02 | 7d ago |
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 89.05 | $0.003 | $0.27 | 7d ago |
Will Z.ai have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 160.43 | $0.007 | $1.12 | 7d ago |