Analytics
Yes is at 29.5%, down 17 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 42 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 14 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 30.5%; a month before, 30.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 42.5% on 15 Sep 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?”.
$4.21K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.61K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 92 trades, $372.76 bought Yes and $682 bought No.
The largest Yes position is gfdgfvfvssdd with 60 shares; the largest No position is 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13 with 80.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2029.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 46.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 29.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13 | No | 80 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 77.22 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 60 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-cmi-declare-the-navier-stokes-problem-solved-by
| Lwx666 | Yes | 40 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | Yes | 30 |
| lissartter | No | 27.85 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 22.02 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 20 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| Emerald Scout EF69 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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