Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 614.75 | $0.742 | $562.5 | +$106.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | 9h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 743.35 |
| $0.665 |
| $509.19 |
| +$14.67 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 549.9 | $0.634 | $426.18 | +$77.69 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 455.38 | $0.915 | $423.5 | +$6.64 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 591.5 | $0.672 | $422.92 | +$25.16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 600.27 | $0.647 | $399.18 | +$10.79 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 961.79 | $0.373 | $394.33 | +$35.3 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 434.91 | $0.825 | $371.85 | +$13.13 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 389.08 | $0.908 | $370.6 | +$17.37 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 676.98 | $0.630 | $368.96 | -$57.81 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 877.9 | $0.456 | $359.94 | -$40.29 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 578.87 | $0.571 | $350.22 | +$19.95 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | No | 403.36 | $0.852 | $312.61 | -$31.11 |
 Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30? | No | 331.03 | $0.861 | $309.34 | +$24.47 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 293 | $0.930 | $273.96 | +$1.47 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | No | 374.28 | $0.655 | $271.35 | +$26.2 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 468.28 | $0.490 | $259.9 | +$30.6 |
 Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31? | No | 271.42 | $0.827 | $245.64 | +$21.29 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 893.07 | $0.351 | $245.59 | -$67.98 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | No | 272.92 | $0.872 | $227.89 | -$10.05 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | No | 530.03 | $0.284 | $219.96 | +$69.29 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.51K | $0.095 | $203.91 | +$60.24 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | No | 258.01 | $0.597 | $181.89 | +$27.85 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 191 | $0.768 | $169.04 | +$22.27 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 211.97 | $0.810 | $168.52 | -$3.21 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.640 |
| $12.8 |
| 18h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.840 | $20.16 | 2d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.920 | $20.24 | 2d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.790 | $4.26 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | 2d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 116.75 | $0.140 | $16.35 | 2d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 38 | $0.950 | $36.1 | 2d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 13, 2026?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.580 | $3.81 | 2d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | 2d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.720 | $20.16 | 3d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.280 | $20.16 | 3d ago |
 Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.220 | $20.02 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.180 | $20.16 | 3d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.730 | $88.33 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 72.21 | $0.730 | $52.71 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.780 | $20.28 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.220 | $20.02 | 3d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.700 | $20.3 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 23.39 | $0.610 | $14.27 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 223 | $0.090 | $20.07 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.610 | $13.42 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.68 | $0.830 | $5.54 | 3d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 29 | $0.700 | $20.3 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.11 | $0.740 | $11.92 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.590 | $20.06 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.477 | $19.1 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.840 | $20.16 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.59 | $0.210 | $16.71 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.240 | $20.16 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.660 | $20.46 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.630 | $20.16 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.610 | $20.13 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 52 | $0.390 | $20.28 | 5d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 135.36 | $0.008 | $1.08 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.690 | $20.01 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.570 | $20.52 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | 6d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 6d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.650 | $20.15 | 6d ago |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 399.19 | $0.008 | $3.19 | 6d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.93 | $0.008 | $0.18 | 6d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.76K | $0.009 | $15.83 | 6d ago |