Nothing here has moved by more than its normal daily swing. The prices below are where the market has settled for now.
Up 2.0 points in a week, 1.9× a normal week for this contract.
Little change: +0.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4.
Little change: +0.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4.
Little change: +0.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4.
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| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 23% | 24% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 14% | 18% |
| Bayern Munich | 14% | 14% |
| Arsenal | 14% | 14% |
| Real Madrid | 12% | 11% |
| Manchester City | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 23¢/24¢ | $73.4K, $92.9K | 24¢+0.0 | 24¢+0.1 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 17¢/18¢ | $119K, $82.1K | 18¢+0.0 | 18¢+0.0 |
| Bayern Munich | 13¢/14¢ | $77.7K, $19.4K | 14¢+0.0 | 14¢+0.0 |
| Arsenal | 13¢/14¢ | $76.7K, $5.1K | 14¢+0.0 | 16¢+2.1 |
| Real Madrid | 10¢/11¢ | $46.4K, $13.9K | 11¢+0.0 | 11¢+0.1 |
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Vultax Research: what copying a Polymarket trade 30 seconds late costs
On Polymarket, “UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion” has Barcelona in front at 24%, on $517K traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 303 open markets across 6 Polymarket events, which together traded $518K over the same 24 hours and hold $12M of resting liquidity. Prices as of 25 Oct 2026, 05:39 UTC.
User reads of the listed clubs' English Wikipedia articles, 24 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (30 days), beside “UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion”. Shares are of the names listed here. A price far ahead of attention is a reason to look closer, not evidence of anything on its own.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 24% | — | — | $1.8K |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 22% | −1.0 | +1.5 |
The Champions League room has no sourced event timeline to set its moves beside, so the cause of each move is unconfirmed.
This season's Champions League questions, kept together with their price history and explicitly mapped clubs. A club's Wikipedia readership measures interest, not its chance of winning.
Market settlement dates and the official fixture calendar are separate. Open the exact contract's rules to distinguish a 90-minute result from advancing after extra time or penalties.
The football model evidence linked here concerns Premier League match outcomes. It does not supply Champions League title probabilities.
The title board lists the clubs the venue prices, with the last observed time, volume and liquidity. Season markets and individual match contracts answer different questions.
Source: Wikimedia pageviews, user reads of each English Wikipedia article, read 25 Oct 2026
| $526K |
| 30 May 2027 |
| Yes24¢No77¢ |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 18% | — | +2.0 | $19.0K | $616K | 30 May 2027 | Yes18¢No83¢ |
| Bayern Munich | 14% | — | — | $1.9K | $297K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes14¢No87¢ |
| Arsenal | 14% | — | — | $919 | $243K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes14¢No87¢ |
| Real Madrid | 11% | — | — | $907 | $282K | 30 May 2027 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| Manchester City | 7.5% | — | +1.0 | $3.0K | $236K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes7.5¢No93¢ |
| Liverpool | 4.5% | — | — | $288 | $376K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes4.5¢No96¢ |
| Atlético Madrid | 2.4% | — | 0 | $826 | $175K | 30 May 2027 | Yes2.4¢No98¢ |
| Inter Milan | 1.7% | 0 | — | $5.7K | $179K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes1.7¢No98¢ |
| Aston Villa | 1.4% | 0 | 0 | $47.6K | $215K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes1.4¢No99¢ |
| Manchester United | 1.3% | — | 0 | $1.3K | $299K | 30 May 2027 | Yes1.3¢No99¢ |
| Borussia Dortmund | <1% | — | 0 | $240 | $211K | 30 May 2027 | Yes0.95¢No99.05¢ |
| Como | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $175K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes0.95¢No99.05¢ |
| Real Betis | <1% | — | 0 | $900 | $148K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes0.9¢No99.1¢ |
| Roma | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $242K | 30 May 2027 | Yes0.75¢No99.25¢ |
| VfB Stuttgart | <1% | — | — | $0 | $163K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes0.65¢No99.35¢ |
| Napoli | <1% | — | — | $0 | $154K | 30 May 2027 | Yes0.55¢No99.45¢ |
| Villarreal | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $127K | 20 Jun 2027 | Yes0.5¢No99.5¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal | 31% | — | −4.0 | $0 | $15.1K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes31¢No70¢ |
| Giovani Lo Celso | 22% | +12 | +19 | $0 | $390 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes22¢No78¢ |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 12% | +2.6 | +3.5 | $63 | $1.3K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Raphinha | 8.5% | −1.5 | +6.6 | $0 | $1.1K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes8.5¢No92¢ |
| Hákon Haraldsson | 8.5% | +8.1 | +6.0 | $15 | $364 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes8.5¢No92¢ |
| Rayan Cherki | 7.0% | +0.5 | +1.0 | $0 | $905 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes7.0¢No93¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 5.2% | — | — | $0 | $469 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes5.2¢No95¢ |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 5.0% | — | — | $0 | $308 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes5.0¢No95¢ |
| Konstantinos Karetsas | 5.0% | — | — | $0 | $276 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes5.0¢No95¢ |
| Phil Foden | 4.0% | — | 0 | $0 | $384 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes4.0¢No96¢ |
| Michael Olise | 4% | −2.1 | −3.0 | $0 | $536 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes4¢No96¢ |
| Álex Baena | 3.6% | — | 0 | $0 | $301 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes3.6¢No96¢ |
| Bukayo Saka | 3.5% | −2.5 | +1.9 | $0 | $649 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes3.5¢No96¢ |
| Nico Paz | 3.5% | — | −0.5 | $0 | $357 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes3.5¢No97¢ |
| Jude Bellingham | 3.2% | — | 0 | $0 | $306 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes3.2¢No97¢ |
| Pedri | 3.1% | 0 | −0.5 | $0 | $395 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes3.1¢No97¢ |
| Isco | 3.1% | 0 | 0 | $0 | $405 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes3.1¢No97¢ |
| Carlos Forbs | 3.1% | — | — | $0 | $333 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes3.1¢No97¢ |
| $4.8K |
| 19 Jun 2027 |
| Yes22¢No78¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 19% | −0.5 | +2.0 | $0 | $6.9K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes19¢No81¢ |
| Erling Haaland | 17% | +0.5 | −7.5 | $20 | $3.1K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes17¢No83¢ |
| Raphinha | 10% | — | −1.5 | $0 | $9.2K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes10¢No90¢ |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 7.5% | −0.5 | −2.0 | $0 | $2.7K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes7.5¢No93¢ |
| Romelu Lukaku | 7.4% | — | +3.0 | $0 | $3.7K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes7.4¢No93¢ |
| Antoine Semenyo | 5.7% | 0 | +3.8 | $0 | $1.6K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes5.7¢No94¢ |
| Gerard Moreno | 5.7% | — | −3.6 | $0 | $1.1K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes5.7¢No94¢ |
| Lamine Yamal | 4.5% | — | 0 | $0 | $1.9K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes4.5¢No96¢ |
| Ferran Torres | 4.3% | 0 | −0.7 | $100 | $1.7K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes4.3¢No96¢ |
| Serhou Guirassy | 4% | — | +3.0 | $0 | $1.4K | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes4¢No96¢ |
| Veljko Simic | 3.6% | — | −0.8 | $0 | $830 | 19 Jun 2027 | Yes3.6¢No96¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 99% | 0 | +3.3 | $0 | $1.7K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes99¢No1.3¢ |
| Arsenal | 98% | — | 0 | $0 | $2.1K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes98¢No2.1¢ |
| Real Madrid | 97% | — | +0.5 | $0 | $2.7K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes97¢No3.2¢ |
| Barcelona | 95% | 0 | +4.6 | $100 | $7.0K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes95¢No4.7¢ |
| Bayern Munich | 90% | — | +1.7 | $0 | $3.2K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes90¢No9.8¢ |
| Liverpool | 89% | — | — | $0 | $4.3K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes89¢No12¢ |
| Manchester City | 87% | — | +1.0 | $0 | $3.5K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes87¢No14¢ |
| Aston Villa | 74% | +0.5 | +11 | $0 | $4.2K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes74¢No27¢ |
| Real Betis | 68% | — | +11 | $0 | $4.1K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes68¢No32¢ |
| VfB Stuttgart | 62% | — | +1.0 | $0 | $6.7K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes62¢No38¢ |
| Atlético Madrid | 61% | — | −4.5 | $0 | $6.0K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes61¢No40¢ |
| Borussia Dortmund | 59% | — | −0.5 | $0 | $4.5K | 28 Feb 2027 | Yes59¢No41¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 86% | — | +9.0 | $0 | $1.7K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes86¢No15¢ |
| Real Madrid | 84% | −1.0 | +9.5 | $0 | $4.0K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes84¢No17¢ |
| Barcelona | 80% | +1.0 | +2.5 | $0 | $3.4K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes80¢No20¢ |
| Arsenal | 75% | −1.0 | −2.5 | $0 | $3.6K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes75¢No25¢ |
| Bayern Munich | 72% | — | +4.0 | $0 | $3.1K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes72¢No28¢ |
| Liverpool | 64% | — | +7.5 | $0 | $2.9K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes64¢No36¢ |
| Manchester City | 61% | +0.5 | +0.5 | $0 | $2.5K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes61¢No39¢ |
| Inter Milan | 37% | — | +7.0 | $0 | $3.6K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes37¢No64¢ |
| Atlético Madrid | 35% | — | −0.5 | $0 | $2.8K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes35¢No66¢ |
| Aston Villa | 31% | — | −23 | $54 | $2.1K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes31¢No70¢ |
| Real Betis | 27% | — | +4.5 | $0 | $1.9K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes27¢No73¢ |
| VfB Stuttgart | 27% | — | +16 | $0 | $1.7K | 20 Mar 2027 | Yes27¢No73¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 57% | −0.5 | +8.0 | $0 | $2.4K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes57¢No43¢ |
| Barcelona | 54% | −0.5 | −1.0 | $0 | $4.9K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes54¢No47¢ |
| Bayern Munich | 50% | — | +14 | $12 | $2.9K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes50¢No51¢ |
| Real Madrid | 40% | — | +0.5 | $0 | $4.1K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes40¢No60¢ |
| Arsenal | 39% | −0.5 | −5.0 | $0 | $2.1K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes39¢No61¢ |
| Manchester City | 25% | +0.5 | −7.5 | $0 | $2.0K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes25¢No75¢ |
| Liverpool | 17% | — | +3.0 | $37 | $1.0K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes17¢No83¢ |
| Atlético Madrid | 16% | −2.0 | +6.0 | $21 | $771 | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| Inter Milan | 16% | — | −1.0 | $0 | $1.8K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| Aston Villa | 13% | — | +2.6 | $0 | $1.1K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes13¢No87¢ |
| Real Betis | 11% | 0 | +1.2 | $0 | $1.3K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| Roma | 9.5% | — | +2.5 | $0 | $1.9K | 18 Apr 2027 | Yes9.5¢No91¢ |
Each mapped club's Wikipedia reads provide outside context beside market prices. Compare aligned complete days and each club's own baseline; the attention share is not a title probability.
Use the official fixture list for the next match and draw dates, then return to the recorded prices. A conditional claim about how much a fixture changes title chances requires a tested season simulation.
The current competition's regulations determine progression. A title contract does not itself forecast qualification, and a market's displayed end date is not a substitute for the official fixture calendar.
Read dated official club or competition reports alongside the room's recorded changes. A nearby injury report or lineup announcement is context; timing alone does not prove it caused the move.
A match result and qualification after extra time or penalties can differ. Open the exact contract's rules before comparing its price with a progression question.
The recent multiple compares the latest complete seven-day daily average with the whole aligned thirty-day daily average, including those seven days. It separates a rise in interest from a famous name's consistently large readership.
The configured award field includes named contenders beyond the highest-priced six. Explicit article mappings reduce name confusion; a missing or failed article read stays missing.
A player can connect an award, a club and a competition. Use the award race and the season rooms together; affiliations and eligibility should be checked against current official sources.
Article requests do not tell us why somebody read. An explanation needs dated reporting from the original club, competition or award source, linked beside the observation.
These are requests for the mapped English Wikipedia articles from Wikimedia's user-agent class. They are not unique readers, votes, verified human identities or forecasts of match or award outcomes.
Return to the race's Changes view for dated readings and its Evidence view for sources. A prior observation is retained as history; a newer price or report does not rewrite what was known before.
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
YOUR RESEARCH NOTEBOOK
Choose a real market question, test one condition at a time, and keep a dated forecast with your reasoning.
Venue close: 19 Jun 2027, 23:59 UTC · Market read 25 Oct 2026, 05:39 UTC
Both branches start at the observed market price. Adjust them to express your own judgment.
YOUR CONDITIONAL ESTIMATE
30.5%
Market reference 30.5% · +0.0 pts
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