Oklahoma City Thunder: Up 2.0 points on the day, against a week that ran down 3.0: 5.0× its normal daily swing, the other way. 2 other outcomes moved by more than noise.
Up 2.0 points on the day, against a week that ran down 3.0: 5.0× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Up 3.6 points in a week, 3.4× a normal week for this contract. 3 days running in the same direction. At its highest in 30 days.
Down 1.7 points in 24 hours, 4.1× its normal daily swing. Down 2.5 on the week.
Little change: −1.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4.
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| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 23% | 23% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 19% | 14% |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 11% | 13% |
| New York Knicks | 13% | 6.5% |
| Boston Celtics | 4.5% | 6.5% |
| Houston Rockets | 2.1% | 6.1% |
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 22¢/23¢ | $26.5K, $7.7K | 23¢+0.0 | 25¢+1.6 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 14¢/15¢ | $7.5K, $8.5K | 16¢+0.6 | 17¢+1.8 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 13¢/13¢ | $9.2K, $2.0K | 13¢+0.0 | 18¢+5.4 |
| New York Knicks | 6¢/7.0¢ | $8.0K, $7.8K | 7.0¢+0.0 | 8.9¢+1.9 |
| Boston Celtics | 6¢/7.0¢ | $10.6K, $5.5K | 7.0¢+0.0 | 9.4¢+2.4 |
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
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Last recorded read: 2026-11-06 10:03 UTC
Up 3.6 points in a week, 3.4× a normal week for this contract. 3 days running in the same direction. At its highest in 30 days.
Up 2.0 points on the day, against a week that ran down 3.0: 5.0× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Down 1.6 points in 24 hours, 4.0× its normal daily swing.
Down 4.5 points in a week, 4.3× a normal week for this contract.
Up 1.2 points in 24 hours, 3.1× its normal daily swing.
Up 1.0 points on the day, against a week that ran down 4.0: 2.5× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Up 3.9 points in a week, 3.6× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Up 1.0 points in 24 hours, 2.5× its normal daily swing.
Down 5.0 points in a week, 4.7× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Up 2.0 points in a week, 1.9× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Down 1.7 points in a week, 1.6× a normal week for this contract.
Up 2.1 points in a week, 2.0× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Up 1.0 points in 24 hours, 2.5× its normal daily swing.
Up 1.7 points in a week, 1.6× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Down 5.0 points in a week, 4.7× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Down 5.0 points in a week, 4.7× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is well under a normal day, so treat it with care.
Up 1.5 points in a week, 1.4× a normal week for this contract.
Down 5.0 points in a week, 4.7× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Up 1.7 points in a week, 1.6× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Down 5.0 points in a week, 4.7× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Up 1.5 points in a week, 1.4× a normal week for this contract.
Down 2.7 points in a week, 2.6× a normal week for this contract.
Down 4.0 points in a week, 3.8× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Up 2.9 points in a week, 2.7× a normal week for this contract.
On Polymarket, “NBA: 2027 Champion” has San Antonio Spurs in front at 23%, on $448K traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 4,365 open markets across 167 Polymarket events, which together traded $757K over the same 24 hours and hold $21M of resting liquidity. Prices as of 6 Nov 2026, 10:09 UTC.
Each row is one settled Polymarket market on the NBA championship: the outcome priced highest 30 days, 7 days and one day before the result was known, and the eventual winner's own price at the same moments. In a tournament or a season, the one-day reading falls before the deciding day.
The day-before favourite won both seasons scored here; the eventual result traded at 76.2% on average that day.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 23% | — | — | $17.0K | $283K |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 96% | — | — | $0 |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 35% | — | — | $365 | $23.9K |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyran Stokes | 25% | — | — | $447 | $79 |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | 59% | — | — | $53.6K | $64.1K |
| Market | Resolved as | Total volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Warriors | Warriors | $4.6M | 6 Nov 2026 |
| Magic vs. Suns | Suns | $2.6M | 6 Nov 2026 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers | $3.1M | 5 Nov 2026 |
| Heat vs. Clippers | Heat | $3.3M | 5 Nov 2026 |
Each recorded move in the NBA room beside the room's own sourced events near it: reports by when they were published, calendar and record entries by the date they name. Close in time is not a cause: Vultax has not confirmed why any of these prices moved.
Up 3.6 points in a week, 3.4× a normal week for this contract. 3 days running in the same direction. At its highest in 30 days.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Up 2.0 points on the day, against a week that ran down 3.0: 5.0× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Down 1.6 points in 24 hours, 4.0× its normal daily swing.
This room reads every open Polymarket market tagged to the NBA and sorts it into the championship, the conferences and the playoff field, season awards, players on the move and the games on the slate. Each price carries its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.
A price is the cost of a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. In a market with many named outcomes the prices should add up to roughly 100%; a gap is the venue's spread and fees, not a free lunch.
A championship market is one distribution across thirty teams, and in basketball it is top-heavy: a handful of rosters hold most of the probability for most of the season. The prices move most on availability. One star's injury report reprices his team, its conference rivals and the title favourite in the same minute, which is why the movement read on this page looks at each team against its own normal swing.
Each market resolves on its own written rules, including the deadline, the resolution source and what counts as the event. Two markets on the same subject with different wording can and do trade at different prices, so read the rules on the market page before comparing them.
Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.
| Yes23¢No78¢ |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 14% | — | — | $46.7K | $247K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes14¢No86¢ |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 13% | — | — | $23.4K | $154K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes13¢No87¢ |
| New York Knicks | 6.5% | — | — | $8.3K | $240K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes6.5¢No94¢ |
| Boston Celtics | 6.5% | — | — | $6.5K | $207K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes6.5¢No94¢ |
| Houston Rockets | 6.1% | — | — | $37.3K | $177K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes6.1¢No94¢ |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 5.5% | — | — | $22.4K | $360K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes5.5¢No94¢ |
| Detroit Pistons | 4.5% | — | — | $10.6K | $191K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes4.5¢No95¢ |
| Toronto Raptors | 3.5% | — | — | $4.3K | $158K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes3.5¢No96¢ |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 3.4% | — | — | $7.6K | $232K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes3.4¢No97¢ |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 2.5% | — | — | $28.2K | $219K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes2.5¢No97¢ |
| Denver Nuggets | 2.5% | — | — | $8.8K | $317K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes2.5¢No97¢ |
| 16 May 2027 |
| Yes96¢No3.5¢ |
| Houston Rockets | 94% | — | — | $36 | $19.9K | 16 May 2027 | Yes94¢No6.0¢ |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 94% | — | — | $643 | $17.0K | 16 May 2027 | Yes94¢No6.1¢ |
| Boston Celtics | 93% | — | — | $0 | $18.2K | 16 May 2027 | Yes93¢No7.0¢ |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 91% | — | — | $696 | $19.8K | 16 May 2027 | Yes91¢No9.5¢ |
| Detroit Pistons | 91% | — | — | $0 | $18.3K | 16 May 2027 | Yes91¢No9.5¢ |
| New York Knicks | 86% | — | — | $116 | $15.3K | 16 May 2027 | Yes86¢No15¢ |
| Toronto Raptors | 85% | — | — | $106 | $15.7K | 16 May 2027 | Yes85¢No15¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers | 25% | — | — | $2.7K | $49.4K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes25¢No75¢ |
| Boston Celtics | 16% | — | — | $52 | $45.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes16¢No85¢ |
| New York Knicks | 16% | — | — | $0 | $42.2K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes16¢No85¢ |
| Detroit Pistons | 10% | — | — | $61 | $43.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes10¢No90¢ |
| Toronto Raptors | 9% | — | — | $0 | $45.4K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes9¢No91¢ |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 6.2% | — | — | $0 | $47.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes6.2¢No94¢ |
| Indiana Pacers | 4.2% | — | — | $0 | $42.4K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes4.2¢No96¢ |
| Miami Heat | 4% | — | — | $0 | $53.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes4¢No96¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 35% | — | — | $3 | $49.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes35¢No65¢ |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 22% | — | — | $0 | $46.7K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes22¢No79¢ |
| Houston Rockets | 14% | — | — | $888 | $43.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes14¢No87¢ |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 11% | — | — | $55 | $46.4K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 5.6% | — | — | $182 | $41.8K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes5.6¢No94¢ |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 4.9% | — | — | $0 | $38.3K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes4.9¢No95¢ |
| Denver Nuggets | 4.5% | — | — | $0 | $40.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes4.5¢No96¢ |
| Golden State Warriors | 3.3% | — | — | $0 | $39.2K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes3.3¢No97¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | 57% | — | — | $0 | $85 | 25 May 2027 | Yes57¢No43¢ |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 50% | — | — | $0 | $3 | 25 May 2027 | Yes50¢No51¢ |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 41% | — | — | $0 | $85 | 25 May 2027 | Yes41¢No59¢ |
| Toronto Raptors | 18% | — | — | $0 | $1.8K | 25 May 2027 | Yes18¢No83¢ |
| Miami Heat | 11% | — | — | $0 | $1.1K | 25 May 2027 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| Washington Wizards | 4.9% | — | — | $56 | $562 | 25 May 2027 | Yes4.9¢No95¢ |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 2.5% | — | — | $0 | $307 | 25 May 2027 | Yes2.5¢No97¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 60% | — | — | $0 | $734 | 25 May 2027 | Yes60¢No40¢ |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 58% | — | — | $0 | $1.2K | 25 May 2027 | Yes58¢No42¢ |
| Phoenix Suns | 49% | — | — | $0 | $3 | 25 May 2027 | Yes49¢No51¢ |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 44% | — | — | $0 | $110 | 25 May 2027 | Yes44¢No56¢ |
| Houston Rockets | 26% | — | — | $0 | $121 | 25 May 2027 | Yes26¢No74¢ |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 16% | — | — | $0 | $288 | 25 May 2027 | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 6.5% | — | — | $0 | $887 | 25 May 2027 | Yes6.5¢No94¢ |
| Dallas Mavericks | 4.0% | — | — | $0 | $721 | 25 May 2027 | Yes4.0¢No96¢ |
| Yes35¢No65¢ |
| Luka Doncic | 34% | — | — | $1.3K | $22.6K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes34¢No66¢ |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 11% | — | — | $267 | $44.6K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Nikola Jokic | 7.5% | — | — | $1.0K | $58.6K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes7.5¢No93¢ |
| Tyrese Maxey | 5.0% | — | — | $275 | $34.0K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes5.0¢No95¢ |
| Jayson Tatum | 3.6% | — | — | $353 | $35.4K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes3.6¢No96¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 35% | — | — | $23 | $4.0K | 1 May 2027 | Yes35¢No66¢ |
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 25% | — | — | $229 | $3.2K | 1 May 2027 | Yes25¢No75¢ |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 18% | — | — | $75 | $3.0K | 1 May 2027 | Yes18¢No82¢ |
| AJ Dybantsa | 13% | — | — | $10 | $6.3K | 1 May 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| Caleb Wilson | 6.3% | — | — | $134 | $4.0K | 1 May 2027 | Yes6.3¢No94¢ |
| Darryn Peterson | 3.2% | — | — | $507 | $3.9K | 1 May 2027 | Yes3.2¢No97¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | 47% | — | — | $0 | $201 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes47¢No53¢ |
| Ryan Rollins | 21% | — | — | $0 | $174 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes21¢No79¢ |
| Amen Thompson | 21% | — | — | $0 | $210 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes21¢No79¢ |
| Davion Mitchell | 20% | — | — | $0 | $158 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes20¢No80¢ |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13% | — | — | $0 | $530 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes13¢No87¢ |
| Dylan Harper | 11% | — | — | $0 | $1.5K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Pritchard | 42% | — | — | $0 | $1.3K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes42¢No58¢ |
| Bobby Portis | 12% | — | — | $0 | $2.3K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Scoot Henderson | 8.1% | — | — | $0 | $2.5K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes8.1¢No92¢ |
| Jared McCain | 8.0% | — | — | $0 | $2.8K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes8.0¢No92¢ |
| Isaiah Collier | 7.5% | — | — | $0 | $2.6K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes7.5¢No92¢ |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 7.5% | — | — | $0 | $2.6K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes7.5¢No92¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Nurse | 46% | — | — | $0 | $89 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes46¢No54¢ |
| Chris Finch | 46% | — | — | $0 | $91 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes46¢No54¢ |
| Micah Nori | 42% | — | — | $0 | $88 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes42¢No58¢ |
| Ime Udoka | 11% | — | — | $0 | $61 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Tuomas Iisalo | 7.8% | — | — | $0 | $366 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes7.8¢No92¢ |
| Tyronn Lue | 2.6% | — | — | $0 | $51 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes2.6¢No97¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 75% | — | — | $1 | $3.0K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes75¢No25¢ |
| Chet Holmgren | 4.8% | — | — | $0 | $1.9K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes4.8¢No95¢ |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 4.7% | — | — | $0 | $514 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes4.7¢No95¢ |
| Jaylen Brown | 4.2% | — | — | $0 | $650 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes4.2¢No96¢ |
| Ausar Thompson | 4% | — | — | $0 | $644 | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes4¢No96¢ |
| Jalen Williams | 2.3% | — | — | $0 | $1.1K | 1 Jul 2027 | Yes2.3¢No98¢ |
| Yes25¢No75¢ |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 12% | — | — | $30 | $459 | 9 Jul 2027 | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Cameron Williams | 6.2% | — | — | $0 | $365 | 9 Jul 2027 | Yes6.2¢No94¢ |
| Bruce Branch III | 5.3% | — | — | $0 | $287 | 9 Jul 2027 | Yes5.3¢No95¢ |
| Baba Oladotun | 4.8% | — | — | $0 | $291 | 9 Jul 2027 | Yes4.8¢No95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | 96% | — | — | $0 | $5.4K | 12 Feb 2027 | Yes96¢No3.9¢ |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 2.5% | — | — | $0 | $1.3K | 12 Feb 2027 | Yes2.5¢No98¢ |
| Charlotte Hornets | 1.1% | — | — | $0 | $1.1K | 12 Feb 2027 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| San Antonio Spurs | <1% | — | — | $0 | $2.1K | 12 Feb 2027 | Yes0.35¢No99.65¢ |
| Boston Celtics | <1% | — | — | $0 | $796 | 12 Feb 2027 | Yes0.25¢No99.75¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Wizards | 49% | — | — | $0 | $20 | 2 Jun 2027 | Yes49¢No51¢ |
| Dallas Mavericks | 48% | — | — | $0 | $11 | 2 Jun 2027 | Yes48¢No53¢ |
| Brooklyn Nets | 4.0% | — | — | $0 | $308 | 2 Jun 2027 | Yes4.0¢No96¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving | 20% | — | — | $0 | $122 | 12 Feb 2027 | Yes20¢No81¢ |
| Stephen Curry | 6% | — | — | $0 | $2.0K | 12 Feb 2027 | Yes6¢No94¢ |
| Buy59¢ |
| Cavaliers | 42% | — | — | $53.6K | $64.1K | 7 Nov 2026 | Buy42¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | 57% | — | — | $13.6K | $55.8K | 7 Nov 2026 | Buy57¢ |
| Trail Blazers | 43% | — | — | $13.6K | $55.8K | 7 Nov 2026 | Buy43¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | 62% | — | — | $7.6K | $48.3K | 7 Nov 2026 | Buy62¢ |
| Pelicans | 39% | — | — | $7.6K | $48.3K | 7 Nov 2026 | Buy39¢ |
| Lakers vs. Kings |
| Lakers |
| $1.4M |
| 5 Nov 2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Spurs | $1.4M | 5 Nov 2026 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | $840K | 5 Nov 2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | $1.2M | 5 Nov 2026 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks | $1.9M | 5 Nov 2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Timberwolves | $1.7M | 5 Nov 2026 |
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Down 4.5 points in a week, 4.3× a normal week for this contract.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Up 1.2 points in 24 hours, 3.1× its normal daily swing.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
Your notebook
Market rulesCloses 1 Jul 2027, 03:59 UTCRead 6 Nov 2026, 10:09 UTC
Same as the market so far
Your scenario
22.5%
Market 22.5% · +0.0 pts
Your scenario, not a Vultax forecast.
Private to your account.
Scored when the market resolves.
Sign in to keep forecasts across devices.
