Analytics
Yes is at 28.5%, down 3.5 points from 32% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 30%. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 24.5% on 17 Oct 2026.
Victor Wembanyama is the favourite of the 33 outcomes in “NBA: 2026-27 MVP”, ahead of Luka Doncic at 23.9%.
$487.91 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.64K since listing. The order book holds $10.82K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 156 trades, $1.32K bought Yes and $1.93K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Prickly-Eyrie with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.8K. Ten wallets hold 89.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 32.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.84K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 1.18K |
| jacksonofalltrades | Yes | 876.2 |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-2026-27-mvp
21 more outcomes, none above 0.8%.
| chris0222 | Yes | 575.64 |
| limearbs | Yes | 313.57 |
| Both-Adult | Yes | 292.45 |
| PrimePenguin | Yes | 284.54 |
| leegunner | No | 246.11 |
| Gili-753 | Yes | 146.39 |
| Haradwaith | No | 138.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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