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| Outcome | 30 days ago, or first full day | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 16% on 4 Nov, its first full day (listed 3 Nov) | 69% |
| Houston Astros | 45% on 5 Nov, its first full day (listed 3 Nov) | 41% |
| Cleveland Guardians | 33% on 5 Nov, its first full day (listed 3 Nov) | 27% |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 40% on 4 Nov, its first full day (listed 3 Nov) | 16% |
| Texas Rangers | 6.0% on 5 Nov, its first full day (listed 3 Nov) | 11% |
| Minnesota Twins | 24% on 4 Nov, its first full day (listed 3 Nov) | 11% |
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 40¢/98¢ | $8, $90 | 99¢fills $90 | 99¢fills $90 |
| Houston Astros | 12¢/69¢ | $24, $3 | 88¢fills $280 | 88¢fills $280 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 11¢/42¢ | $5, $30 | 42¢fills $30 | 42¢fills $30 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | —/31¢ | $0, $6 | 66¢+35 | 67¢fills $2.2K |
| Texas Rangers | 7.0¢/15¢ | $5, $6 | 56¢fills $345 | 56¢fills $345 |
Vultax Research: what copying a Polymarket trade 30 seconds late costs
Last recorded read: 2026-11-06 10:03 UTC
Up 4.9 points in 24 hours, 2.3× its normal daily swing. Volume is 4.0× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 11 points in 24 hours, 7.1× its normal daily swing. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is 4.0× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 15 points in a week, 4.0× a normal week for this contract. 3 days running in the same direction.
Up 46 points in 24 hours, more than 20× its normal daily swing. Up 85 on the week. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 3.5× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 27 points in 24 hours, 12× its normal daily swing.
Down 9.3 points on the day, against a week that ran up 16: 4.2× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Up 48 points in a week, 8.3× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Up 33 points in a week, 8.3× a normal week for this contract.
Down 33 points in a week, 9.6× a normal week for this contract.
Down 6.2 points on the day, against a week that ran up 28: 6.2× its normal daily swing, the other way. Volume is 3.2× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 6.1 points on the day, against a week that ran down 28: 4.7× its normal daily swing, the other way. Volume is 3.3× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 5.2 points on the day, against a week that ran up 29: 5.2× its normal daily swing, the other way. Volume is 4.6× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 5.4 points on the day, against a week that ran down 29: 4.2× its normal daily swing, the other way. Volume is 4.6× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 32 points in a week, 9.3× a normal week for this contract. Volume is 5.3× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 34 points in a week, 13× a normal week for this contract. Volume is 5.0× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 35 points in a week, 11× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is 4.1× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 34 points in a week, 13× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 3.2× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 22 points in a week, 6.9× a normal week for this contract.
Up 2.4 points on the day, against a week that ran down 14: 2.0× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Down 15 points in a week, 5.3× a normal week for this contract.
Up 21 points in a week, 7.9× a normal week for this contract.
Up 21 points in a week, 8.5× a normal week for this contract. Volume is well under a normal day, so treat it with care.
Down 15 points in a week, 5.0× a normal week for this contract. Volume is well under a normal day, so treat it with care.
Up 21 points in a week, 7.9× a normal week for this contract.
On Polymarket, “MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to 2027 World Series” has Los Angeles Dodgers in front at 69%, on $405 traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 331 open markets across 18 Polymarket events, which together traded $12.2K over the same 24 hours and hold $1.9M of resting liquidity. Prices as of 6 Nov 2026, 10:09 UTC.
Each row is one World Series Polymarket priced: the team priced highest 30 days, 7 days and one day before Game 1, and the champion's own price at the same moments.
The day-before favourite won both World Series scored here; the eventual result traded at 61.5% on average that day.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 69% | — | — | $20 |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | 99% | — | — | $6.1K | $2.8K |
| Market | Resolved as | Total volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB: 2026 AL Gold Glove Winners | Dillon Dingler | $59.2K | 2 Nov 2026 |
| MLB: 2026 NL Gold Glove Winners | Matt Olson | $60.8K | 2 Nov 2026 |
| MLB World Series Champion 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers | $48M | 29 Oct 2026 |
| MLB Postseason: World Series MVP | William Contreras | $61.4K |
The MLB room has no sourced event timeline to set its moves beside, so the cause of each move is unconfirmed.
This room reads every open Polymarket market tagged to Major League Baseball and sorts it into the World Series, the pennants and the postseason field, awards and statistical leaders, and the games on the slate. Each price carries its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.
A price is the cost of a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. In a market with many named outcomes the prices should add up to roughly 100%; a gap is the venue's spread and fees, not a free lunch.
Baseball's postseason is short-series play, so the championship market moves in steps: a team's price roughly doubles each time it survives a round, and a wild-card team that was priced as a long shot can lead the board a fortnight later. Through the regular season the same market mostly tracks playoff odds and the health of each rotation.
Each market resolves on its own written rules, including the deadline, the resolution source and what counts as the event. Two markets on the same subject with different wording can and do trade at different prices, so read the rules on the market page before comparing them.
Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.
| 22 Oct 2027 |
| Yes69¢No31¢ |
| Houston Astros | 41% | — | — | $0 | $71 | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes41¢No60¢ |
| Cleveland Guardians | 27% | — | — | $0 | $46 | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes27¢No74¢ |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 16% | — | — | $0 | $1.1K | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes16¢No85¢ |
| Texas Rangers | 11% | — | — | $60 | $278 | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Minnesota Twins | 11% | — | — | $80 | $345 | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 10% | — | — | $0 | $1.1K | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes10¢No90¢ |
| Detroit Tigers | 9% | — | — | $225 | $390 | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes9¢No91¢ |
| Chicago White Sox | 7.0% | — | — | $0 | $503 | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes7.0¢No93¢ |
| Chicago Cubs | 7.0% | — | — | $0 | $386 | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes7.0¢No93¢ |
| Cincinnati Reds | 6.7% | — | — | $0 | $328 | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes6.7¢No93¢ |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 6% | — | — | $0 | $507 | 22 Oct 2027 | Yes6¢No94¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 19% | — | — | $0 | $19.0K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes19¢No82¢ |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 18% | — | — | $0 | $16.2K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes18¢No83¢ |
| New York Yankees | 14% | — | — | $0 | $19.1K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes14¢No86¢ |
| Boston Red Sox | 13% | — | — | $0 | $25.5K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| Detroit Tigers | 13% | — | — | $0 | $13.9K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 12% | — | — | $0 | $23.8K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| Cleveland Guardians | 12% | — | — | $0 | $23.3K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| Chicago Cubs | 12% | — | — | $0 | $29.3K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| San Diego Padres | 12% | — | — | $0 | $21.9K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes12¢No89¢ |
| New York Mets | 11% | — | — | $0 | $24.4K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Seattle Mariners | 11% | — | — | $0 | $14.2K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| Atlanta Braves | 11% | — | — | $0 | $34.2K | 1 Nov 2027 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| 19 Dec 2026 |
| Yes99¢No1.0¢ |
| Carson Benge | <1% | — | — | $4.4K | $11.1K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.35¢No99.65¢ |
| Nolan McLean | <1% | — | — | $200 | $5.3K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Konnor Griffin | <1% | — | — | $0 | $8.2K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| JJ Wetherholt | <1% | — | — | $0 | $4.3K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Bubba Chandler | <1% | — | — | $0 | $10.2K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | >99% | — | — | $175 | $2.0K | 12 Nov 2026 | Yes99.3¢No0.7¢ |
| Dylan Cease | <1% | — | — | $400 | $2.3K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.65¢No99.35¢ |
| Tarik Skubal | <1% | — | — | $0 | $2.1K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Garrett Crochet | <1% | — | — | $0 | $2.8K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Jacob deGrom | <1% | — | — | $0 | $2.8K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Cole Ragans | <1% | — | — | $0 | $2.3K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle | 98% | — | — | $240 | $2.2K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes98¢No1.8¢ |
| Parker Messick | 1.1% | — | — | $0 | $3.0K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| Munetaka Murakami | <1% | — | — | $0 | $3.1K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Payton Tolle | <1% | — | — | $0 | $4.7K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Kazuma Okamoto | <1% | — | — | $0 | $4.3K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Carter Jensen | <1% | — | — | $0 | $5.3K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Murphy | 99% | — | — | $0 | $1.7K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes99¢No1.4¢ |
| Walt Weiss | <1% | — | — | $200 | $7.2K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.75¢No99.25¢ |
| Carlos Mendoza | <1% | — | — | $0 | $10.6K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Rob Thomson | <1% | — | — | $0 | $10.6K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Craig Stammen | <1% | — | — | $0 | $9.3K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Don Mattingly | <1% | — | — | $0 | $7.2K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.1¢No99.9¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 99% | — | — | $0 | $1.2K | 13 Nov 2026 | Yes99¢No1.4¢ |
| Junior Caminero | 1.6% | — | — | $40 | $1.5K | 13 Nov 2026 | Yes1.6¢No98¢ |
| Cam Schlittler | <1% | — | — | $0 | $2.6K | 13 Nov 2026 | Yes0.4¢No99.6¢ |
| Aaron Judge | <1% | — | — | $0 | $1.9K | 13 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | <1% | — | — | $0 | $2.5K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Gunnar Henderson | <1% | — | — | $0 | $1.6K | 13 Nov 2026 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venable | 99% | — | — | $10 | $3.4K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes99¢No1.3¢ |
| Kevin Cash | <1% | — | — | $0 | $10.1K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.9¢No99.1¢ |
| Chad Tracy | <1% | — | — | $10 | $6.4K | 19 Dec 2026 | Yes0.25¢No99.75¢ |
| Alex Cora | <1% | — | — | $0 | $12.5K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Stephen Vogt | <1% | — | — | $0 | $4.5K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.15¢No99.85¢ |
| Aaron Boone | <1% | — | — | $0 | $8.9K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.1¢No99.9¢ |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Milwaukee Brewers | $1.5M | 29 Oct 2026 |
| MLB Postseason: Longest Game | 10+ innings | $37.7K | 29 Oct 2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | $1.9M | 28 Oct 2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Milwaukee Brewers | $1.0M | 27 Oct 2026 |
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
