Nothing here has moved by more than its normal daily swing. The prices below are where the market has settled for now.
Little change: +1.5 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 1.0. Volume is 4.0× a normal day, so money came with it.
Down 1.6 points in 24 hours, 3.9× its normal daily swing. Volume is 4.0× a normal day, so money came with it.
Little change: +0.7 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 1.0. Volume is 4.0× a normal day, so money came with it.
Little change: +0.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.5. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 4.0× a normal day, so money came with it.
Research is free. Create a free account to save room watches and use your Vi allowance.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 69% | 99% |
| Ben Shelton | 96% | 98% |
| Arthur Fils | 83% | 97% |
| Jannik Sinner | 98% | 97% |
| Frances Tiafoe | 80% | 96% |
| Rafael Jodar | 50% | 90% |
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 99¢/99.7¢ | $52, $735 | 99.84¢fills $735 | 99.84¢fills $735 |
| Ben Shelton | 96¢/99.9¢ | $10, $5 | 99.9¢fills $5 | 99.9¢fills $5 |
| Arthur Fils | 94¢/99.8¢ | $20, $1.8K | 99.8¢+0.0 | 99.8¢fills $1.8K |
| Jannik Sinner | 93¢/99.9¢ | $279, $30 | 99.9¢fills $30 | 99.9¢fills $30 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 93¢/98¢ | $237, $1.0K | 98¢+0.3 | 98¢fills $1.1K |
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Vultax Research: what copying a Polymarket trade 30 seconds late costs
On Polymarket, “ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to Make Top 10” has Daniil Medvedev in front at >99%, on $1.2K traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 1,629 open markets across 105 Polymarket events, which together traded $1.4M over the same 24 hours and hold $8.0M of resting liquidity. Prices as of 27 Oct 2026, 15:55 UTC.
Each row is one settled Polymarket market on a Grand Slam singles title: the outcome priced highest 30 days, 7 days and one day before the result was known, and the eventual winner's own price at the same moments. In a tournament or a season, the one-day reading falls before the deciding day.
The day-before favourite won 5 of 10 majors scored here; the eventual result traded at 58.1% on average that day.
User reads of each player's English Wikipedia article, 27 Sep 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (30 days), beside “ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to Make Top 10”. Shares are of the names listed here. A price far ahead of attention is a reason to look closer, not evidence of anything on its own.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | >99% | — | — |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 94% | — | — | $474K |
| Market | Resolved as | Total volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Curitiba: Francesca Jones vs Marria Urrutia | Francesca Jones | $139K | awaiting settlement |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech | Jerome Kym | $329K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Courmayeur: Adrienn Nagy vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | Oksana Selekhmeteva | $102K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar |
Each recorded move in the Tennis room beside the room's own sourced events near it: reports by when they were published, calendar and record entries by the date they name. Close in time is not a cause: Vultax has not confirmed why any of these prices moved.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
This room reads every open Polymarket market tagged to tennis and sorts it into the four Grand Slam titles, the rankings and the season, other tour events and the matches on the order of play. Each price carries its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.
The majors are where the money is: a Grand Slam winner market draws tens of millions of dollars, while most single matches trade a few thousand. A title market is one distribution across the draw, and it moves with every round, because each win removes an opponent from somebody's path.
Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.
Source: Wikimedia pageviews, user reads of each English Wikipedia article, read 27 Oct 2026
| $1.1K |
| — |
| Yes99.35¢No0.65¢ |
| Ben Shelton | 98% | — | — | $0 | $377 | — | Yes98¢No2.1¢ |
| Arthur Fils | 97% | — | — | $0 | $935 | — | Yes97¢No3.1¢ |
| Jannik Sinner | 97% | — | — | $0 | $329 | — | Yes97¢No3.5¢ |
| Frances Tiafoe | 96% | — | — | $0 | $854 | — | Yes96¢No4.5¢ |
| Rafael Jodar | 90% | — | — | $0 | $1.1K | — | Yes90¢No10¢ |
| Alex de Minaur | 46% | — | — | $363 | $636 | — | Yes46¢No54¢ |
| Novak Djokovic | 24% | — | — | $0 | $620 | — | Yes24¢No76¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | 96% | — | — | $0 | $619 | — | Yes96¢No3.7¢ |
| Daniil Medvedev | 96% | — | — | $95 | $1.1K | — | Yes96¢No4.1¢ |
| Arthur Fils | 87% | — | — | $0 | $197 | — | Yes87¢No13¢ |
| Frances Tiafoe | 83% | — | — | $0 | $97 | — | Yes83¢No18¢ |
| Rafael Jodar | 71% | — | — | $108 | $907 | — | Yes71¢No29¢ |
| Novak Djokovic | 16% | — | — | $210 | $1.2K | 7 Dec 2026 | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| Alex de Minaur | 5% | — | — | $9 | $998 | — | Yes5¢No95¢ |
| Taylor Fritz | 5.0% | — | — | $0 | $1.1K | — | Yes5.0¢No95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | 75% | — | — | $0 | $136 | 15 Jan 2027 | Yes75¢No25¢ |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 11% | — | — | $50 | $197 | 15 Jan 2027 | Yes11¢No90¢ |
| Mirra Andreeva | <1% | — | — | $0 | $798 | 15 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Jessica Pegula | <1% | — | — | $0 | $906 | 15 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Coco Gauff | <1% | — | — | $0 | $990 | 15 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? | 1.9% | — | — | $1 | $784 | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes1.9¢No98¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 98% | — | — | $0 | $6.0K | 15 Jan 2027 | Yes98¢No1.6¢ |
| Jannik Sinner | <1% | — | — | $0 | $6.1K | 15 Jan 2027 | Yes0.3¢No99.7¢ |
| Carlos Alcaraz | <1% | — | — | $0 | $2.3K | 15 Jan 2027 | Yes0.05¢No99.95¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 6% | — | — | $0 | $159 | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes6¢No94¢ |
| November 30, 2026 | 4.3% | — | — | $0 | $945 | 1 Dec 2026 | Yes4.3¢No96¢ |
| 3 Nov 2026 |
| Buy94¢ |
| Karen Khachanov | 6.5% | — | — | $474K | $284K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy6.5¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | 56% | — | — | $293K | $128K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy56¢ |
| Ignacio Buse | 45% | — | — | $293K | $128K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy45¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | 76% | — | — | $130K | $204K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy76¢ |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 25% | — | — | $130K | $204K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy25¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Riera | 57% | — | — | $107K | $220K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy57¢ |
| Rebeka Masarova | 43% | — | — | $107K | $220K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy43¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | 56% | — | — | $40.5K | $275K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy56¢ |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | 45% | — | — | $40.5K | $275K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy45¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martyna Kubka | 89% | — | — | $32.1K | $174K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy89¢ |
| Mia Ristic | 12% | — | — | $32.1K | $174K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy12¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Balshaw | 53% | — | — | $39.0K | $153K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy53¢ |
| Ugo Blanchet | 48% | — | — | $39.0K | $153K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy48¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linda Klimovicova | >99% | — | — | $33.7K | $100K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy99.95¢ |
| Gaia Maduzzi | <1% | — | — | $33.7K | $100K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy0.05¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Wolf | 95% | — | — | $35.5K | $120K | 2 Nov 2026 | Buy95¢ |
| Abedallah Shelbayh | 5.5% | — | — | $35.5K | $120K | 2 Nov 2026 | Buy5.5¢ |
| Side | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 63% | — | — | $28.8K | $183K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy63¢ |
| Kilian Feldbausch | 37% | — | — | $28.8K | $183K | 3 Nov 2026 | Buy37¢ |
| Rafael Jodar |
| $220K |
| 27 Oct 2026 |
| Brest: Tom Paris vs Borna Gojo | Borna Gojo | $86.0K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Ningbo: Naoya Honda vs Filip Peliwo | Naoya Honda | $55.8K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev | Tommy Paul | $525K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Brest: Matisse Bobichon vs Michael Geerts | Matisse Bobichon | $92.8K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew | Xinran Sun | $496K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Ningbo: Sergey Fomin vs Liam Broady | Liam Broady | $58.0K | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Courmayeur: Jessica Pieri vs Elizara Yaneva | Elizara Yaneva | $55.5K | 27 Oct 2026 |
8 further markets are awaiting settlement and are not shown.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
