Analytics
The Adrian Mannarino side is at 81.5%, up 19 points from 62.5% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026, the highest close was 81.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 62.5% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 81.5% on 27 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse”.
$452.31K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $281.69K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Adrian Mannarino position is ferrariChampions2026 with 41.8K shares; the largest Ignacio Buse position is robustmst with 39.6K. Ten wallets hold 54.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 4:26 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Adrian Mannarino price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Adrian Mannarino price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 62.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 81.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 41.76K |
| robustmst | Ignacio Buse | 39.56K |
| HomeRunHazard | Adrian Mannarino | 23.41K |
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Ignacio Buse in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Ignacio Buse. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mannari-buse-2026-10-27
| omnibus-076daa | Adrian Mannarino | 16.4K |
| jtwyslljy | Ignacio Buse | 15.7K |
| redvinny | Adrian Mannarino | 15.16K |
| 1234162 | Ignacio Buse | 14.89K |
| UpTheBlues | Adrian Mannarino | 12.02K |
| Emerald Tide 5375 | Ignacio Buse | 10.96K |
| astapzippo | Ignacio Buse | 8.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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