Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 57 points from 57.5% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 91 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.3%; a month before, 26.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 72.5% on 22 Aug 2026.
Jannik Sinner ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to be Number 1”. Alexander Zverev leads at 98%; Carlos Alcaraz is at 0.1%.
$31.86K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $5.5K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 494 trades, $4.78K bought Yes and $5.11K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Violet Maven 063C with 1.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 7K. Ten wallets hold 90.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 57.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.03K |
| Violet Maven 063C | Yes | 1.57K |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 1.08K |
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings, as published by the ATP at the conclusion of 2026. If the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be the official ATP year-end rankings as published by the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-2026-end-of-year-rankings-player-to-be-number-1-20260728190252631
| Vodka- | Yes | 982.9 |
| leegunner | Yes | 870.08 |
| thoodr | Yes | 604 |
| Decent-Corporal | Yes | 505 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 255.63 |
| marksman | Yes | 233.02 |
| farvz | Yes | 174.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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